NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	8.4 [245]		MVP	Deni Avdija (POR): +35.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	18.2 [206]		LVP	Colin Castleton (TOR): -26.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamison Battle	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18	0.06	0.13	0.00	7	64%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.1	0.10	0.00	-0.01	15	58%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	68%	0.14	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Garrett Temple	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	52%	0.07	5	-0.16	9	89%	0.03
A.J. Lawson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	14	32%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Colin Castleton	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	-0.00	10	36%	-0.10	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.36	0.35	0.09	0.26	0.00	8	76%	0.43	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	15	67%	0.35	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.10	-0.02	16	66%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	16	50%	-0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.04	12	21%	-0.08	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.2	15.3	27.6	2.4	34.4	134.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +44.8%

POR +14.7%

TOR -0.4%

TOR -8.8%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	14.4	104.1	105.0	113.0
season	13.9	14.3		109.0	110.3
opponent	14.5	14.6		113.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.1	13.4	13.1	15.8	14.5
POR	15.9	14.9	13.6	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Shead	55	55	0.55	-1.05	1.61	-0.06	21	-24	45	12.7	16.8	-4.12	15.2	13.8	1.36
Jakob Poeltl	54	52	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.08	12	-15	27	13.2	16.1	-2.85	15.2	14.0	1.17
Scottie Barnes	59	60	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-7	11	13.6	15.8	-2.19	14.7	14.4	0.32
Garrett Temple	51	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.30	-13	10	-23	15.3	13.6	1.66	12.8	16.7	-3.90
Jamison Battle	44	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.54	6	-9	15	15.4	13.7	1.69	16.1	13.4	2.72
Ochai Agbaji	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.65	7	-10	17	12.9	16.2	-3.33	16.2	13.0	3.20
Colin Castleton	51	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.26	-15	12	-27	16.2	12.7	3.45	13.9	15.5	-1.62
A.J. Lawson	66	67	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.46	-10	7	-17	15.4	12.6	2.83	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Orlando Robinson	59	62	-1.25	0.75	-2.00	-0.46	-27	24	-51	15.8	12.6	3.17	13.9	15.8	-1.89

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	71	71	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.58	2	1	1	15.0	13.7	1.32	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Deni Avdija	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	5	-7	15.6	12.5	3.07	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Anfernee Simons	66	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	3	-3	15.4	13.0	2.41	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Donovan Clingan	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.50	-2	5	-7	15.8	12.7	3.15	14.1	15.2	-1.11
Toumani Camara	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.50	-2	5	-7	15.5	12.2	3.31	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Matisse Thybulle	16	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-4	11	9.7	15.5	-5.76	15.3	14.4	0.92
Kris Murray	38	34	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-3	9	12.2	16.1	-3.92	16.1	13.7	2.43
Duop Reath	39	37	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	-2	7	13.0	15.6	-2.56	15.2	14.1	1.11
Dalano Banton	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	6	-9	15.2	14.5	0.69	11.3	14.9	-3.56
Scoot Henderson	62	60	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.28	4	-1	5	13.5	16.3	-2.83	15.7	12.6	3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	89.8%
LAC 96, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.25,0.55,0.76,0.99,1	89.6%
DET 101, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.43,0.31,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.67,0.99,1	89.5%