NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	5.8 [673]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +20.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	22.2 [45]		LVP	Mike James (MIN): -12.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.03	0.02	24	61%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.08	-0.01	8	69%	0.13	2	-0.11	10	100%	0.05
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.01	16	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	12%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.07	0.02	13	71%	0.25	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	6	94%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.13	-0.00	11	52%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	5	86%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.6	34.4	15.6	23.2	2.5	33.2	132.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.1%

MIN +26.1%

LAC -3.1%

MIN +5.8%

LAC -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.4	110.3	119.5	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.3	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.8	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	17.1	15.5	16.7	16.3
MIN	17.6	16.4	16.4	16.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	69	70	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-13	18	16.2	16.8	-0.57	17.2	15.2	1.99
Daniel Ewing	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-5	2	18.0	16.2	1.80	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Paul Davis	6	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	18.0	16.2	1.80	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Shaun Livingston	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	1	-10	16.4	16.3	0.17	16.8	16.8	0.02
Quinton Ross	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-11	14	16.2	16.5	-0.24	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Aaron Williams	60	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-14	20	16.5	15.8	0.74	17.3	15.7	1.57
Tim Thomas	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	11	-30	15.6	16.9	-1.31	15.8	17.5	-1.62
Sam Cassell	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-9	10	16.3	16.4	-0.17	16.8	16.8	-0.02
Elton Brand	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-8	8	16.4	16.1	0.31	16.8	16.4	0.42
Corey Maggette	49	49	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.21	-21	13	-34	16.4	16.2	0.15	16.4	17.3	-0.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	32	32	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.28	20	-12	32	16.2	17.1	-0.99	16.8	16.0	0.78
Marko Jaric	55	54	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.14	23	-15	38	16.1	17.9	-1.83	16.3	16.4	-0.07
Ricky Davis	76	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	0	8	17.0	15.0	2.04	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Mark Blount	45	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	10	-12	16.8	16.7	0.13	16.4	16.3	0.08
Kevin Garnett	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	7	-6	16.8	16.7	0.12	16.6	15.4	1.20
Craig Smith	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	-2	12	16.7	16.8	-0.13	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Mark Madsen	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	5	-2	15.9	16.9	-1.00	18.1	16.1	1.99
Justin Reed	13	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	18.2	16.5	1.61	14.1	16.8	-2.68
Troy Hudson	32	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	5	-2	16.7	16.8	-0.10	16.2	16.4	-0.11
Mike James	33	33	-0.29	0.80	-1.09	0.09	-13	21	-34	17.3	16.5	0.79	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Trenton Hassell	28	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.14	-15	23	-38	17.2	16.6	0.59	16.4	16.3	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.25,0.55,0.76,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.95,1,1	92.1%
ORL 79, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	91.9%
PHX 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.53,0.72,0.91,0.92,1	91.1%