NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	6.3 [554]		MVP	Willie Green (PHI): +15.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	18.1 [93]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): -13.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	15	65%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Jahidi White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	17	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.07
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.01	-0.13	-0.02	21	59%	0.07	5	-0.18	4	75%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	14	58%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	6	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	7	70%	0.16	3	-0.07	13	85%	0.11
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	15	68%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	9	57%	-0.01	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	30.2	16.6	28.2	2.5	39.3	142.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.2%

PHI +17.2%

PHX -13.4%

PHI +7.8%

PHX -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	17.7	16.0	15.7	109.3	116.5	100.5
season	14.6	16.2		99.6	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		99.5	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.9	15.8	19.6	18.3	17.7
PHI	18.2	16.9	16.4	13.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	30	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.12	-2	-3	1	16.1	18.5	-2.43	16.6	15.7	0.92
Antonio McDyess	55	54	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-10	15	18.6	16.0	2.53	17.4	13.6	3.85
Maciej Lampe	18	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	17.6	17.7	-0.12	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Jahidi White	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	16.0	18.0	-2.03	14.2	16.4	-2.26
Joe Johnson	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-4	3	17.4	20.0	-2.59	15.8	19.0	-3.24
Shawn Marion	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-3	1	17.7	17.2	0.55	16.2	15.4	0.76
Casey Jacobsen	65	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	17.7	17.4	0.36	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Amar'e Stoudemire	61	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	18.3	16.0	2.38	16.2	15.6	0.52
Leandro Barbosa	36	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	8	-21	17.4	17.9	-0.50	14.7	17.0	-2.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	54	54	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.37	15	-10	25	14.8	18.1	-3.26	17.6	17.7	-0.16
Kyle Korver	33	35	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-8	21	14.2	17.2	-3.06	17.8	17.6	0.20
Eric Snow	58	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-1	7	16.6	14.8	1.77	18.2	16.4	1.76
Kenny Thomas	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	16.3	15.3	0.98	18.4	15.7	2.73
Samuel Dalembert	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	8	-11	16.3	14.5	1.77	17.9	16.5	1.40
Zendon Hamilton	17	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	6	-7	16.3	16.0	0.34	15.5	18.2	-2.72
Greg Buckner	28	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	4	-3	15.1	16.5	-1.31	16.8	18.1	-1.36
John Salmons	67	67	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.17	-2	7	-9	16.3	15.2	1.09	17.1	19.5	-2.34
Aaron McKie	31	32	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	15	-25	18.1	14.8	3.26	17.7	17.6	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.53,0.72,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.6%
ORL 79, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	92.1%
LAC 96, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.25,0.55,0.76,0.99,1	91.1%