NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	6.8 [427]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (POR): +36.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	105		Comeback	18.9 [77]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -10.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	71%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	9	56%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alando Tucker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	17	51%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.13	-0.01	19	55%	-0.00	3	-0.10	11	82%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.36	0.36	0.14	0.24	0.02	15	69%	0.42	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	22	49%	0.13	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.06
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	10	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	15	42%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	39.0	20.6	28.4	3.7	40.0	161.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +30.4%

POR +1.3%

POR +10.9%

POR +7.4%

POR +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	16.5	15.3	110.9	118.0	106.0
season	14.4	16.7		113.5	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	15.3	14.6	17.5	15.4
POR	16.4	16.0	16.0	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	74	68	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.19	8	-11	19	14.9	17.1	-2.18	15.8	18.6	-2.73
Alando Tucker	17	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.15	-4	1	-5	16.0	15.2	0.79	17.7	16.2	1.50
Earl Clark	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	17.6	15.1	2.51	13.5	16.9	-3.36
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-6	9	15.1	18.5	-3.36	16.7	12.4	4.33
Lou Amundson	19	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	12	-27	19.1	14.4	4.66	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Goran Dragic	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	2	-7	15.7	15.1	0.61	17.0	16.1	0.87
Steve Nash	78	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-7	11	14.7	19.1	-4.38	16.8	14.6	2.18
Grant Hill	66	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.58	3	-6	9	14.7	17.1	-2.40	16.7	16.0	0.62
Jared Dudley	68	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.40	-7	4	-11	15.8	14.1	1.67	16.4	16.8	-0.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	61	61	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.29	19	-16	35	16.2	17.0	-0.81	16.1	13.9	2.20
Jerryd Bayless	51	52	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-10	23	16.5	16.5	0.02	16.8	13.5	3.24
Steve Blake	70	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	2	-1	16.6	15.9	0.68	15.4	15.1	0.27
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	5	-7	16.4	17.0	-0.62	14.9	18.0	-3.12
Brandon Roy	78	81	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	6	-9	16.7	15.1	1.59	15.1	17.0	-1.86
Dante Cunningham	8	8	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-1	5	16.4	16.5	-0.12	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Juwan Howard	23	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	7	-11	16.0	16.7	-0.65	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Andre Miller	35	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	11	-19	16.4	16.5	-0.09	13.9	16.4	-2.49
Joel Przybilla	45	47	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	8	-13	16.7	16.2	0.51	15.4	15.3	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.79,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.53,0.72,0.91,0.92,1	92.6%
BOS 92, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.85,0.95,1	91.4%
LAC 113, VAN 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.9,0.92,1	91.3%