NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	113		Excitement	7.6 [284]		MVP	Lorenzen Wright (LAC): +14.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies	119		Comeback	12.9 [86]		LVP	Keith Closs (LAC): -17.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	92%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	5	93%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.00	21	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Loy Vaught	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	14	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
James Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Keith Closs	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	4	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	21	60%	0.19	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.04
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.07	0.06	8	65%	0.08	2	-0.08	10	70%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	64%	0.04	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.02
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	8	35%	-0.14	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	24.6	15.6	25.0	1.8	43.2	135.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +14.8%

VAN +17.3%

VAN +29.7%

LAC -11.1%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	VAN	NBA	LAC	VAN	NBA
this game	15.9	12.5	15.6	111.9	116.7	102.5
season	15.5	15.1		101.0	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		109.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	14.7	17.1	16.7	15.9
VAN	13.7	13.5	15.6	8.1	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	30	31	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.02	10	-16	26	14.9	16.3	-1.41	10.8	13.3	-2.48
Stojko Vrankovic	42	43	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-12	18	15.1	16.4	-1.32	13.7	11.6	2.07
Loy Vaught	27	26	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.12	1	-7	8	17.2	15.4	1.82	11.3	12.9	-1.65
Lamond Murray	57	58	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-6	6	16.7	14.8	1.90	14.2	10.3	3.84
Darrick Martin	74	74	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-8	10	16.3	14.8	1.47	12.8	11.8	0.94
Lorenzen Wright	41	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	1	-8	16.8	15.2	1.58	12.0	12.8	-0.81
Keith Closs	15	13	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	0	-6	17.3	15.6	1.69	13.5	12.3	1.19
Maurice Taylor	24	23	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	0	-6	14.1	16.5	-2.37	11.4	12.8	-1.38
Rodney Rogers	91	93	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	2	-10	15.8	17.1	-1.34	12.6	11.9	0.67
Brent Barry	64	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	5	-16	15.8	16.0	-0.21	13.0	11.6	1.46
James Robinson	40	41	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.41	-11	5	-16	14.6	16.7	-2.05	10.3	14.0	-3.65

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blue Edwards	47	46	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.39	14	-8	22	10.2	14.5	-4.32	16.3	15.6	0.68
Pete Chilcutt	38	38	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.40	13	-7	20	11.3	13.2	-1.93	15.7	16.0	-0.37
Otis Thorpe	80	80	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.37	13	-7	20	12.0	14.3	-2.32	16.4	14.0	2.39
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	1	4	13.1	10.9	2.17	15.2	18.0	-2.79
Antonio Daniels	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	7	-8	13.0	11.7	1.29	15.6	16.4	-0.86
Lee Mayberry	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	0	6	10.6	13.7	-3.08	15.7	16.0	-0.32
George Lynch	40	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	9	-12	12.5	12.5	0.04	17.1	15.2	1.89
Tony Massenburg	9	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	11	-16	14.3	12.3	2.01	11.1	16.4	-5.25
Bryant Reeves	61	59	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	10	-14	13.6	10.8	2.83	16.7	14.7	1.97
Anthony Peeler	55	55	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.07	-8	14	-22	14.5	10.2	4.32	15.6	16.3	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.33,0.61,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	92.8%
NJN 104, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.15,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.34,0.68,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	91.6%
MIL 104, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.92,1	91.6%