NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	8.4 [192]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +16.7%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	5.5 [255]		LVP	Jamie Feick (NJN): -33.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	14	68%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	14	68%	0.25	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	74%	0.08	5	-0.16	9	67%	-0.06
Kerry Kittles	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	0.01	-0.21	0.01	7	67%	-0.11	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jamie Feick	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.00	8	22%	-0.14	4	-0.19	2	0%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.01	20	62%	0.23	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	11	76%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	15	73%	0.22	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	61%	0.07	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	5	36%	-0.09	1	-0.08	4	25%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.3	26.4	14.5	22.3	2.3	43.3	132.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.5%

NJN -28.4%

WAS +42.1%

WAS +2.2%

NJN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.2	114.3	120.0	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		102.1	101.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	17.6	16.2	15.5	16.0
WAS	17.3	16.0	15.1	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	32	31	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.10	7	-11	18	18.5	14.6	3.91	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Johnny Newman	24	25	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-10	16	20.4	14.4	5.99	16.0	15.8	0.20
Scott Burrell	34	35	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.03	9	-13	22	17.6	15.0	2.59	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Michael Cage	8	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-3	2	23.2	15.3	7.98	13.7	16.0	-2.32
Sherman Douglas	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	0	-4	19.7	14.5	5.17	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Jim McIlvaine	20	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	3	-10	16.6	15.8	0.88	18.2	15.1	3.05
Jamie Feick	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-8	12	14.8	18.5	-3.71	15.3	17.1	-1.76
Stephon Marbury	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-4	4	14.5	19.7	-5.17	16.2	14.9	1.32
Keith Van Horn	57	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	9	-22	15.0	17.6	-2.59	16.1	15.5	0.56
Kendall Gill	67	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.45	-10	6	-16	14.4	20.4	-5.99	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Kerry Kittles	59	59	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	7	-18	14.6	18.5	-3.91	16.0	15.6	0.42

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	72	73	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	16.0	15.2	0.86	14.6	21.7	-7.11
Rod Strickland	75	74	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-5	14	15.9	15.7	0.23	15.8	16.9	-1.13
Jahidi White	59	59	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-3	10	16.7	14.3	2.44	14.5	18.7	-4.15
Michael Smith	58	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-4	12	16.1	15.5	0.55	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Mitch Richmond	67	69	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	0	4	16.0	15.5	0.45	15.6	17.1	-1.48
Laron Profit	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	2	0	16.3	15.8	0.47	19.1	15.7	3.44
Tracy Murray	32	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	15.0	16.3	-1.28	18.6	14.6	4.01
Reggie Jordan	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	9	-14	14.0	16.3	-2.29	14.3	16.4	-2.04
Chris Whitney	16	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	8	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.81	16.9	15.8	1.13
Ike Austin	27	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	10	-16	15.3	16.1	-0.80	18.9	14.5	4.38
Aaron Williams	20	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	10	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.20	19.1	15.0	4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.15,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.34,0.68,0.55,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 112, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.17,0.25,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.23,0.26,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.9,1	92.1%
LAC 113, VAN 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.9,0.92,1	91.6%
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	91.6%