NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	7.9 [334]		MVP	Allonzo Trier (NYK): +20.9%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	12.8 [55]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -28.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	10	65%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	3	-0.07	12	75%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.06	0.15	-0.08	0.01	19	68%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Isaac	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.11	-0.13	0.02	12	67%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	10	15%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	16	42%	-0.16	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	5	90%	0.25	1	-0.05	10	90%	0.03
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	11	59%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	9	71%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.03
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	39%	0.02	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	-0.00	18	46%	-0.04	2	-0.12	5	60%	0.01
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.02	16	24%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.6	15.4	23.5	1.8	33.2	128.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.6%

NYK +12.5%

ORL -9.5%

NYK +5.5%

NYK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	14.3	104.0	108.0	109.3
season	14.9	14.5		107.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	14.9	14.1	16.3	14.5
NYK	13.7	15.1	15.2	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	4	-13	14.4	14.6	-0.25	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Wes Iwundu	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	5	-15	14.5	14.5	0.01	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Khem Birch	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	6	-17	14.7	14.5	0.25	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Jonathan Isaac	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-11	17	14.5	14.5	0.01	14.6	14.0	0.63
Terrence Ross	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	6	-17	15.4	13.9	1.49	14.7	14.2	0.57
Evan Fournier	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.49	6	-11	17	14.3	15.4	-1.12	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Nikola Vucevic	71	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.52	6	-11	17	14.5	14.7	-0.25	14.4	14.4	0.05
D.J. Augustin	60	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.55	6	-11	17	14.6	14.4	0.25	14.8	13.8	1.04
Aaron Gordon	68	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	3	-11	14.3	15.1	-0.77	14.5	14.2	0.31

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	64	64	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.27	23	-18	41	14.0	15.1	-1.14	15.1	13.4	1.71
Allonzo Trier	42	41	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.32	21	-16	37	15.0	14.0	0.98	15.7	13.7	1.96
John Jenkins	43	43	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.22	24	-19	43	15.7	13.4	2.26	16.2	13.3	2.92
Henry Ellenson	73	73	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.25	18	-13	31	14.3	14.8	-0.50	15.0	13.1	1.93
Mitchell Robinson	67	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	14.9	13.4	1.56	15.0	13.6	1.49
Luke Kornet	10	10	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	-2	9	12.2	14.7	-2.46	14.5	14.5	-0.04
Noah Vonleh	23	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	14	-23	13.9	14.6	-0.70	13.2	15.0	-1.81
Damyean Dotson	39	38	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.08	-14	19	-33	13.8	14.8	-0.97	12.9	15.5	-2.58
Lance Thomas	35	34	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.12	-16	21	-37	13.9	14.7	-0.76	12.9	15.4	-2.47
Dennis Smith Jr.	46	45	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.09	-16	21	-37	14.9	14.0	0.85	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Kevin Knox	58	58	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.04	-18	23	-41	14.0	15.0	-0.98	13.7	15.7	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 76, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.76,0.91,1	92.1%
ATL 86, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.78,0.92,1	91.4%
ORL 98, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.85,1	91.0%