NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	7.9 [270]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +27.6%
Brooklyn Nets	122		Comeback	4.0 [131]		LVP	Nic Claxton (BKN): -7.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	11	72%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Trae Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	18	64%	0.29	6	-0.18	8	87%	0.03
Vit Krejci	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	54%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Terance Mann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	14	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.16	0.00	16	67%	0.36	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.06
Maxwell Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.01	7	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	20	52%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	8	65%	0.12	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	6	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	35.4	14.5	27.3	2.3	30.4	141.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +23.1%

ATL -0.9%

BKN +23.8%

ATL -0.0%

BKN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	11.8	16.6	14.4	111.8	120.8	113.0
season	13.3	15.4		112.1	108.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		114.6	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	10.6	11.9	11.8	13.0	11.8
BKN	18.2	13.9	17.7	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	74	74	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.16	8	-16	24	11.6	12.3	-0.71	16.2	17.7	-1.51
Onyeka Okongwu	71	72	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-17	26	11.6	12.4	-0.79	15.7	18.9	-3.28
Georges Niang	55	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-9	10	12.0	11.6	0.46	17.3	15.8	1.47
Vit Krejci	55	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-6	4	11.7	11.9	-0.21	16.2	17.1	-0.85
Trae Young	85	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	11.4	13.8	-2.35	16.7	16.1	0.64
Mouhamed Gueye	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	4	-16	11.5	12.0	-0.54	16.4	16.7	-0.24
Zaccharie Risacher	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	4	-16	11.7	11.9	-0.14	16.9	16.3	0.65
Dominick Barlow	31	29	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	9	-26	12.4	11.6	0.79	18.9	15.7	3.28
Terance Mann	54	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.23	-15	7	-22	12.9	10.6	2.27	16.5	16.7	-0.23

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	34	36	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.11	20	-12	32	18.1	15.8	2.25	12.4	11.5	0.90
Maxwell Lewis	46	46	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-9	26	16.7	16.5	0.19	12.5	11.2	1.35
Tyrese Martin	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	0	8	16.6	16.6	0.02	11.4	12.6	-1.20
Cameron Johnson	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	16.6	16.7	-0.10	11.8	11.9	-0.09
Trendon Watford	55	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	1	6	16.6	16.6	0.01	11.7	12.0	-0.31
Keon Johnson	61	60	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.15	3	5	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.22	11.9	11.7	0.19
Reece Beekman	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	8	-8	16.6	16.6	-0.02	12.6	11.4	1.20
Jalen Wilson	64	65	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	14	-20	16.6	16.5	0.08	11.4	12.6	-1.24
Nic Claxton	67	66	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	20	-32	15.8	18.1	-2.25	11.5	12.4	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1,1	92.5%
MIL 94, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,1	91.5%
NYK 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	91.3%