NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	6.6 [490]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +9.5%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	4.4 [626]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -15.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.01	18	66%	0.17	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	2	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	16	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.06	-0.07	0.04	10	60%	0.01	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Joe Alexander	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	10	31%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	13	57%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.03	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.07
Morris Almond	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	14%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	30.0	14.8	28.0	1.6	33.5	134.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.7%

UTA +3.7%

MIL -10.4%

UTA +24.3%

MIL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	97.9	109.4	106.4
season	15.0	15.3		104.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		105.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	14.8	15.5	14.0	15.0
UTA	16.2	15.9	13.9	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	5	5	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-18	25	17.0	14.9	2.13	16.4	14.9	1.45
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-9	7	15.7	14.1	1.68	15.6	14.3	1.29
Charlie Bell	77	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-10	9	14.6	16.3	-1.67	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Francisco Elson	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.2	14.8	1.36	12.1	15.4	-3.26
Joe Alexander	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-2	-7	11.7	15.8	-4.08	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Luke Ridnour	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	0	-11	16.0	13.7	2.36	15.7	14.2	1.48
Richard Jefferson	86	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-8	5	14.9	15.7	-0.80	14.9	16.4	-1.57
Andrew Bogut	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-8	5	15.6	12.6	2.99	16.1	10.7	5.41
Austin Croshere	37	38	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	6	-23	14.0	15.6	-1.64	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Ramon Sessions	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.31	-10	-1	-9	14.5	15.9	-1.40	14.8	15.4	-0.56

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	58	59	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-1	13	14.0	16.5	-2.49	14.8	15.3	-0.56
Paul Millsap	47	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.04	20	-9	29	13.6	16.4	-2.88	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Ronnie Price	82	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	5	1	15.2	13.7	1.53	14.9	15.3	-0.34
CJ Miles	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	2	7	14.3	16.2	-1.95	15.1	14.8	0.32
Kosta Koufos	17	16	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	4	3	15.1	15.0	0.05	17.1	14.6	2.50
Matt Harpring	17	16	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	2	7	15.7	14.9	0.83	15.6	14.9	0.70
Carlos Boozer	65	66	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	7	-3	15.1	14.8	0.32	16.0	12.7	3.36
Morris Almond	11	11	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	2	7	17.5	14.7	2.85	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Kyle Korver	30	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	19	-27	16.3	14.5	1.81	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Ronnie Brewer	52	52	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	13	-15	15.6	14.4	1.21	15.7	14.1	1.56
Mehmet Okur	42	41	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	22	-33	16.0	14.3	1.66	13.4	16.2	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.6%
WAS 72, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,1,1	91.4%
GSW 99, ATL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.39,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.98,1,1,1,1	91.4%