NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	6.3 [601]		MVP	Malik Monk (CHA): +12.1%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	3.1 [816]		LVP	Mario Hezonja (NYK): -14.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	71%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kadeem Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	12	65%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Knox	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	16	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Damyean Dotson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Allonzo Trier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Trey Burke	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	7	31%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Hezonja	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.08	-0.03	12	58%	0.19	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	85%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	16	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	27.6	14.8	28.2	2.0	29.3	126.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.1%

CHA +8.9%

CHA +16.8%

NYK -1.5%

NYK -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	14.3	97.9	105.2	109.3
season	14.5	14.6		103.8	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		111.6	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	13.1	13.0	16.7	14.3
CHA	16.0	15.7	15.8	16.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	62	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-19	29	13.3	16.0	-2.67	17.4	13.5	3.87
Lance Thomas	43	44	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-14	19	13.2	15.2	-1.95	17.5	14.8	2.75
Noah Vonleh	68	70	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-16	23	13.5	16.2	-2.72	16.6	14.5	2.15
Kevin Knox	67	68	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-14	19	13.9	15.2	-1.29	16.7	14.4	2.26
Trey Burke	47	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-10	11	13.7	14.8	-1.09	17.3	14.7	2.69
Kadeem Allen	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	14.4	14.2	0.19	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Mitchell Robinson	26	26	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	7	-23	16.2	13.5	2.72	14.5	16.6	-2.15
Damyean Dotson	28	29	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	7	-23	15.9	13.6	2.32	14.1	16.9	-2.76
Mario Hezonja	51	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	5	-19	15.2	13.2	1.95	14.8	17.5	-2.75
Allonzo Trier	43	43	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.12	-21	12	-33	15.6	13.1	2.51	13.7	17.9	-4.23

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	49	47	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.21	19	-10	29	15.1	17.0	-1.98	15.9	12.7	3.17
Malik Monk	45	45	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-5	19	14.7	17.2	-2.44	15.0	13.6	1.45
Jeremy Lamb	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	3	3	15.9	16.3	-0.41	14.4	14.0	0.41
Tony Parker	39	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-3	15	15.3	16.5	-1.26	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Marvin Williams	74	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	11	-13	16.4	14.8	1.63	13.8	15.6	-1.72
Willy Hernangomez	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	0	9	15.0	16.9	-1.91	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Kemba Walker	71	68	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	10	-11	16.9	13.6	3.23	13.8	15.6	-1.81
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	15	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	-1	11	16.7	15.9	0.75	17.6	13.5	4.13
Nicolas Batum	61	59	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	17	-25	16.8	14.7	2.16	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Bismack Biyombo	28	26	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	23	-37	17.6	15.4	2.28	11.5	15.3	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 109, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
CLE 102, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1,1	92.8%
ATL 75, DET 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.71,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.89,0.99,0.97,1	92.8%