NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	6.2 [491]		MVP	Vit Krejci (ATL): +12.7%
Atlanta Hawks	123		Comeback	1.6 [808]		LVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): -13.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.02	0.06	19	70%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
DaQuan Jeffries	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	15	67%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	70%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Garrett	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	0.06	21	48%	-0.06	3	-0.06	10	100%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	79%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.01	20	57%	0.18	5	-0.10	21	100%	0.08
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	5	86%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	14	36%	-0.08	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	0.06	12	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.2	14.7	28.7	2.0	36.2	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -1.3%

ATL +25.2%

CHA -3.3%

ATL +28.4%

ATL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	12.9	14.4	102.8	118.3	113.0
season	15.0	13.3		107.0	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.2		113.9	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.2	15.1	14.9	13.2	14.3
ATL	12.0	13.7	11.3	15.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	22	20	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-16	19	14.4	14.3	0.02	18.4	11.6	6.77
Jusuf Nurkic	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	13.8	14.5	-0.71	10.7	13.6	-2.91
Seth Curry	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-8	3	14.0	14.5	-0.51	10.0	13.9	-3.96
Wendell Moore Jr.	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-10	7	14.2	14.4	-0.22	10.0	14.4	-4.36
DaQuan Jeffries	69	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-5	-3	14.3	14.4	-0.16	14.1	10.9	3.17
LaMelo Ball	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-7	1	13.7	15.6	-1.91	11.6	15.6	-4.03
Josh Green	67	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-7	1	13.7	15.4	-1.72	12.9	13.0	-0.15
Miles Bridges	81	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-7	1	13.9	15.6	-1.68	13.9	10.0	3.91
Marcus Garrett	40	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	15.8	13.4	2.40	14.8	11.8	2.97
Nick Smith Jr.	39	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	16.4	13.2	3.25	14.3	12.2	2.06
Mark Williams	59	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	-1	-11	14.6	14.1	0.51	12.0	14.1	-2.12

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-1	15	13.2	12.2	1.03	14.2	14.7	-0.58
Zaccharie Risacher	48	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	3	7	12.1	13.6	-1.46	15.1	13.7	1.39
Mouhamed Gueye	30	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	6	1	13.1	12.9	0.19	16.0	13.7	2.35
Trae Young	74	78	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	7	-1	13.3	12.0	1.26	14.8	13.1	1.66
Onyeka Okongwu	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	4	5	14.1	11.1	3.02	14.9	13.5	1.31
Caris LeVert	56	60	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	1	11	12.8	13.1	-0.28	13.6	15.3	-1.62
Dominick Barlow	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	9	-5	11.1	14.1	-3.02	13.5	14.9	-1.31
Vit Krejci	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	11	-9	12.9	12.9	-0.03	14.5	14.3	0.26
Terance Mann	46	47	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	14	-15	12.5	13.3	-0.74	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Georges Niang	55	59	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	11	-9	13.1	12.7	0.45	13.5	15.4	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.75,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.2%
VAN 81, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	94.3%
POR 94, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.3%