NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	81		Excitement	5.2 [763]		MVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): +7.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	1.7 [772]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -17.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Mayberry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Blue Edwards	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	12	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.05	0.04	15	60%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	-0.00	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Lawrence Moten	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	6	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	18	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	5	53%	0.02	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	10	37%	-0.08	2	-0.04	10	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	0.6	27.6	16.0	26.5	0.3	30.2	124.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +18.1%

SEA +5.1%

VAN -4.9%

SEA +28.7%

SEA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SEA	NBA	VAN	SEA	NBA
this game	17.6	13.9	15.6	89.0	98.9	104.4
season	16.3	14.9		97.9	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.5		100.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.3	21.1	18.1	17.5	17.6
SEA	13.4	12.6	13.8	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Mobley	17	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	16.6	17.8	-1.21	14.2	13.9	0.38
Richard Manning	2	2	-0.04	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-7	4	18.0	17.6	0.44	12.5	14.0	-1.46
Anthony Peeler	9	7	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-7	4	18.4	17.5	0.97	11.7	14.1	-2.39
George Lynch	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-8	6	18.0	17.4	0.61	14.7	13.6	1.12
Lee Mayberry	39	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-8	6	18.1	17.2	0.84	13.5	14.2	-0.70
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	47	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-5	0	17.9	17.2	0.71	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Greg Anthony	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-4	-2	17.6	17.6	-0.01	14.1	13.5	0.59
Lawrence Moten	78	81	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-8	6	17.6	17.2	0.49	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Bryant Reeves	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	17.6	17.5	0.09	14.3	13.4	0.91
Roy Rogers	57	58	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	17.3	18.1	-0.78	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Blue Edwards	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.09	-12	2	-14	17.2	19.0	-1.80	13.9	14.0	-0.10

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.14	11	-1	12	13.4	15.7	-2.26	17.7	17.0	0.72
Hersey Hawkins	73	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.09	12	-2	14	14.5	11.7	2.76	17.5	18.0	-0.50
David Wingate	43	42	0.26	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	14.8	13.2	1.63	19.1	16.3	2.83
Sam Perkins	57	55	0.24	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	2	6	13.4	14.8	-1.46	16.9	18.5	-1.58
Larry Stewart	52	53	0.24	0.25	-0.02	0.12	4	6	-2	13.5	14.5	-0.97	17.0	18.3	-1.32
Craig Ehlo	49	49	0.23	0.26	-0.03	0.08	5	5	0	13.2	14.8	-1.63	16.3	19.1	-2.83
Jim McIlvaine	37	37	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	8	-6	14.2	13.8	0.40	18.1	17.2	0.90
Shawn Kemp	48	47	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	11	-12	14.3	13.5	0.86	18.5	16.5	1.99
Eric Snow	30	30	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	6	-2	14.6	13.6	1.00	17.4	17.6	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	95.3%
MIA 68, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIL 73, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%