inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 73 Excitement4.2 [1004] MVPRonald Dupree (DET): +5.9%
Detroit Pistons 99 Comeback1.4 [1019] LVPZaza Pachulia (MIL): -10.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Fizer0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.00-0.061040%0.0500.0000%0.00
Joe Smith0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.020.011164%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Toni Kukoc0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01460%-0.022-0.002100%0.00
Mo Williams-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01842%-0.041-0.01367%-0.00
Erick Strickland-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.01-0.05633%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.070,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02725%-0.061-0.0220%-0.04
Michael Redd-0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01936%-0.042-0.05475%-0.00
Desmond Mason-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.001247%-0.051-0.04887%0.02
Zaza Pachulia-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00617%-0.062-0.0400%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronald Dupree0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.010.051171%0.0600.00667%0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00487%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.031847%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.03776%0.061-0.023100%0.01
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.03658%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01460%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.002100%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02425%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021243%-0.0500.001164%-0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.00629%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.329.616.625.71.825.4126.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.1%
DET +8.7%
DET +4.2%
DET +3.1%
DET +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDETNBAMILDETNBA
this game16.516.615.583.9113.8104.0
season16.016.7104.4103.5
opponent15.915.098.9107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.915.017.917.316.5
DET16.117.816.416.216.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calvin Booth670.00-0.500.500.09-3-232013.016.8-3.7720.616.24.32
Michael Redd4543-0.18-0.320.140.03-7-191215.917.1-1.1916.616.60.01
Toni Kukoc3838-0.18-0.320.130.29-16-10-615.617.2-1.5516.616.60.06
Zaza Pachulia3534-0.22-0.280.060.25-16-10-616.716.30.4016.116.9-0.88
Marcus Fizer4342-0.23-0.270.030.38-21-5-1616.516.5-0.0316.516.7-0.19
Anthony Goldwire3737-0.24-0.260.020.38-21-5-1616.116.8-0.7917.615.91.69
Mo Williams5050-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.12-5-211616.816.10.7915.917.6-1.69
Joe Smith4445-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.12-5-211616.516.50.0316.716.50.19
Dan Gadzuric4646-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.08-7-191216.816.20.5916.416.8-0.44
Desmond Mason4949-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-10-16617.215.61.5516.616.6-0.06
Erick Strickland4244-0.32-0.18-0.140.24-19-7-1217.115.91.1916.616.6-0.01

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo43440.360.140.21-0.352422217.016.20.7516.116.9-0.75
Elden Campbell43430.330.170.15-0.382422217.016.20.7516.316.7-0.40
Tayshaun Prince57560.320.180.130.14620-1416.317.2-0.9716.316.9-0.57
Chauncey Billups49480.290.210.070.11620-1415.817.6-1.7417.115.81.29
Ronald Dupree31320.260.240.02-0.382241816.816.50.2716.616.40.19
Carlos Delfino36370.230.27-0.04-0.362061417.615.91.6315.916.9-1.02
Antonio McDyess45450.210.29-0.08-0.141214-216.816.30.5116.416.6-0.13
Rasheed Wallace27280.210.29-0.090.09422-1816.316.7-0.4917.516.11.41
Richard Hamilton46460.160.34-0.190.10224-2216.316.9-0.6216.616.40.13
Ben Wallace44430.140.36-0.210.08224-2216.217.0-0.7516.916.10.75
Darko Milicic14130.000.50-0.49-0.23818-1017.416.40.9915.216.7-1.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%
UTA 85, POR 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CLE 114, NOP 1190.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.3%