NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	4.5 [919]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +21.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	119		Comeback	1.5 [715]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -18.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.26	0.00	0.10	24	73%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.04	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Joe Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	2	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.05	0.10	19	42%	-0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.01	0.04	18	75%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	24	58%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	62%	0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	25.4	15.8	21.2	2.7	34.5	132.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +51.8%

CLE -0.0%

NOP +5.0%

CLE -3.7%

CLE -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOP	NBA	CLE	NOP	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.1	126.7	132.2	104.2
season	15.9	15.8		108.7	106.3
opponent	15.2	14.9		106.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	16.4	16.4	15.5	15.7
NOP	17.0	14.9	16.3	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	13	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.30	9	-14	23	12.4	16.2	-3.82	12.3	17.2	-4.89
Dion Waiters	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.8	-0.61	15.9	16.5	-0.50
Joe Harris	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-11	17	14.7	15.9	-1.23	16.2	16.4	-0.14
Tristan Thompson	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-12	19	15.3	16.3	-1.03	17.0	15.3	1.73
Shawn Marion	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	5	-15	15.6	15.7	-0.02	15.6	16.9	-1.30
LeBron James	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.5	16.2	-0.76	17.3	13.0	4.30
Anderson Varejao	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	7	-19	16.3	15.3	1.03	15.3	17.0	-1.73
Kyrie Irving	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	15.7	15.6	0.06	17.0	13.8	3.14
Kevin Love	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	15.9	13.8	2.09	16.7	13.8	2.86
Matthew Dellavedova	44	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	12	-29	17.1	14.3	2.85	15.5	17.1	-1.67

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	77	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-8	21	15.5	21.3	-5.80	15.7	15.2	0.50
Ryan Anderson	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-4	13	16.3	16.8	-0.50	15.7	15.5	0.23
Jrue Holiday	60	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	7	-9	16.5	16.0	0.47	16.1	14.6	1.57
Omer Asik	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	16.7	15.7	1.07	15.6	15.8	-0.28
Luke Babbitt	58	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	0	5	15.7	17.5	-1.84	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Jeff Withey	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	16.0	16.5	-0.47	17.2	15.1	2.06
Austin Rivers	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	8	-11	18.0	14.9	3.01	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Dante Cunningham	19	19	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	6	-7	19.3	15.6	3.70	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Jimmer Fredette	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	5	-5	14.3	16.8	-2.49	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Alexis Ajinca	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	14.6	16.5	-1.89	11.3	16.0	-4.74
Anthony Davis	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	16.9	16.3	0.66	15.5	15.7	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
BKN 73, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 73, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%