NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	5.1 [835]		MVP	Andre Miller (DEN): +9.2%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.5 [947]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.02	0.06	18	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Tierre Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	10	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	13	53%	-0.01	6	-0.13	8	100%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.03	-0.05	15	31%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	82%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	11	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.03	5	-0.13	8	62%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.5	29.3	15.5	27.2	1.8	28.4	133.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +38.1%

LAL -4.3%

DEN +0.2%

DEN +8.2%

DEN +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.3	15.5	92.3	113.6	104.0
season	15.7	14.8		105.8	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.3	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	14.2	15.7	14.4	14.6
DEN	13.2	14.6	12.6	12.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-18	15	12.0	15.5	-3.45	13.8	13.1	0.72
Sasha Vujacic	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	12.9	14.8	-1.87	12.8	13.3	-0.48
Slava Medvedenko	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-23	25	14.4	14.6	-0.15	13.2	13.3	-0.04
Brian Grant	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	15.1	14.4	0.75	12.7	13.5	-0.70
Chucky Atkins	52	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-10	-1	14.3	14.8	-0.42	14.1	12.4	1.68
Tierre Brown	51	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-12	3	15.3	13.8	1.48	13.1	13.4	-0.26
Chris Mihm	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-7	-7	14.7	14.3	0.42	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Caron Butler	81	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-4	-13	14.1	16.0	-1.85	13.5	12.5	1.01
Jumaine Jones	64	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-9	-3	14.8	14.1	0.74	13.0	13.7	-0.68
Kobe Bryant	83	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	-2	-17	14.9	13.2	1.65	13.1	13.9	-0.82

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	0	21	13.3	13.2	0.03	14.8	14.2	0.55
Carmelo Anthony	67	68	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.14	16	5	11	13.1	13.6	-0.45	14.6	14.5	0.09
Greg Buckner	43	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	4	13	13.5	13.1	0.39	14.2	14.8	-0.52
Nene	44	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	5	11	11.7	14.4	-2.72	15.5	13.8	1.65
DerMarr Johnson	54	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	21	-21	13.8	12.6	1.20	14.8	14.3	0.52
Earl Boykins	62	63	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.22	17	4	13	12.7	14.1	-1.35	13.9	15.6	-1.66
Andre Miller	57	57	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	15	-9	14.3	12.0	2.24	15.0	14.0	0.94
Wesley Person	46	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	9	3	12.5	13.9	-1.42	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Bryon Russell	48	49	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	22	-23	14.2	12.5	1.73	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Francisco Elson	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	20	-19	13.5	13.2	0.28	15.2	14.3	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 114, NOP 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 103, MIA 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 99, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%