NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	5.4 [764]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +11.2%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.5 [1090]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): -8.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jawad Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.10	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.04	-0.03	7	21%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	9	65%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	19	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	22	65%	0.21	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	5	82%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	9	62%	0.07	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	13	48%	0.03	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.5	28.2	15.7	31.8	1.8	30.4	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.5%

CLE -6.4%

IND +12.3%

IND +2.1%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	13.4	15.5	94.3	102.9	105.7
season	15.1	14.7		100.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	15.4	12.5	14.0	14.0
IND	14.4	12.8	11.5	15.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	9.2	14.2	-4.94	16.0	13.3	2.70
Jamario Moon	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	9.2	14.2	-4.94	16.0	13.3	2.70
Samardo Samuels	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	9.2	14.2	-4.94	16.0	13.3	2.70
Ryan Hollins	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	15.8	13.9	1.89	11.2	13.6	-2.40
Anderson Varejao	63	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	14.7	13.0	1.75	14.1	12.5	1.63
Daniel Gibson	78	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	13.8	14.4	-0.60	13.4	13.5	-0.15
JJ Hickson	46	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-8	7	12.7	15.0	-2.32	12.7	14.0	-1.27
Anthony Parker	79	79	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-7	5	14.0	14.1	-0.10	13.5	13.2	0.37
Jawad Williams	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	5	-19	14.3	13.9	0.37	11.8	14.1	-2.28
Mo Williams	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	1	-11	14.3	12.8	1.41	13.9	11.7	2.20
Ramon Sessions	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	3	-15	14.2	13.9	0.36	12.3	14.2	-1.87
Antawn Jamison	83	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	8	-25	14.5	12.2	2.24	13.7	12.5	1.16

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	13.6	12.9	0.65	14.5	12.0	2.50
Roy Hibbert	77	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	2	5	13.8	12.5	1.31	14.4	12.8	1.61
Brandon Rush	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	13.4	13.5	-0.04	13.4	14.9	-1.46
Josh McRoberts	38	39	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-1	11	13.1	13.6	-0.59	15.2	13.3	1.96
Darren Collison	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	8	-7	14.1	12.6	1.49	14.2	13.8	0.35
T.J. Ford	45	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	1	7	12.6	14.1	-1.49	13.8	14.2	-0.35
James Posey	55	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	4	1	12.9	14.0	-1.17	13.5	14.5	-0.95
Mike Dunleavy	75	75	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	13.9	12.3	1.63	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Solomon Jones	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	7	-5	12.5	13.8	-1.31	12.8	14.4	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 114, NOP 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
GSW 83, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%