inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 103 Excitement4.3 [965] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +14.4%
Miami Heat 122 Comeback1.8 [1048] LVPRudy Gay (SAC): -12.3%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.000.041571%0.133-0.05862%-0.02
Ben McLemore0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.12-0.010.061377%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Travis Outlaw0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01362%0.0300.00250%0.00
Jason Thompson0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.02679%0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Derrick Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01547%0.0100.00520%-0.05
Ray McCallum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcus Thornton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jimmer Fredette-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.011141%-0.013-0.09540%-0.04
Rudy Gay-0.120,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.04-0.041350%0.017-0.1320%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.01-0.001175%0.171-0.03250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.011661%0.132-0.0210%-0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.041671%0.173-0.083100%0.01
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011369%0.084-0.0300%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.00764%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.02780%0.094-0.06683%0.02
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02560%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00367%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.524.516.424.42.526.6121.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +21.9%
MIA +16.4%
SAC -0.7%
MIA +11.4%
MIA +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game14.314.515.1103.0122.0105.2
season15.415.6104.5109.7
opponent15.814.7105.1107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC13.314.316.313.614.3
MIA13.912.815.715.714.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Thornton20190.05-0.550.600.11-2-171513.514.5-0.9916.114.11.97
Travis Outlaw49500.04-0.540.58-0.053-222513.814.8-1.0314.414.6-0.20
Ray McCallum10110.00-0.500.50-0.124-232714.214.4-0.1613.414.6-1.23
Quincy Acy3333-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-171513.514.7-1.1913.714.9-1.18
Jimmer Fredette109-0.17-0.330.160.07-8-11315.714.21.518.615.0-6.49
DeMarcus Cousins6464-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-9-114.813.51.3114.913.71.15
Isaiah Thomas7373-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-10114.015.3-1.3115.312.23.07
Derrick Williams5656-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-16-3-1314.414.20.2414.314.7-0.36
Ben McLemore6665-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.06-13-6-714.713.61.0914.813.90.84
Rudy Gay7576-0.50-0.00-0.490.21-245-2914.214.7-0.5114.016.0-2.03
Jason Thompson4444-0.520.02-0.540.01-18-1-1715.013.81.2214.614.40.23

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade66680.58-0.080.66-0.2428-93714.115.1-0.9514.314.5-0.24
Chris Bosh51520.440.060.38-0.001541114.614.30.3414.913.71.13
LeBron James62630.410.090.320.00145914.714.10.6614.514.00.54
Mario Chalmers66680.340.160.18-0.221901915.712.03.6813.915.3-1.38
Norris Cole38360.290.210.090.03910-113.315.2-1.8515.513.71.81
Shane Battier47490.270.230.050.10613-715.413.61.8214.813.90.81
Chris Andersen44450.080.42-0.34-0.12712-514.714.30.4013.615.0-1.39
Rashard Lewis43420.040.46-0.41-0.10514-914.014.8-0.8113.714.8-1.08
Ray Allen55530.030.47-0.43-0.02217-1514.614.30.2314.314.4-0.16
James Jones540.000.50-0.500.12-423-279.014.7-5.7512.514.4-1.92
Udonis Haslem980.000.50-0.500.03-120-2111.714.7-3.0715.114.30.85
Roger Mason Jr.11100.000.50-0.500.12-423-2713.414.6-1.2314.214.4-0.16
Joel Anthony320.000.50-0.500.03-120-218.314.6-6.3214.014.3-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 96, DEN 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.76,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
PHI 97, BKN 1220.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
UTA 98, CHI 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%