NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	4.4 [933]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +15.8%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	1.4 [346]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -11.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	71%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
John Amaechi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	10	62%	-0.00	5	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
Karl Malone	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	13	48%	-0.02	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	17	84%	0.21	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.06	14	72%	0.06	1	-0.01	11	64%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	-0.03	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.1	15.7	26.3	2.6	32.0	133.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +50.5%

UTA -6.5%

UTA -1.2%

CHI +9.9%

UTA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.5	104.3	120.2	101.6
season	16.3	15.0		103.1	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	17.1	16.8	13.7	15.6
CHI	14.7	15.6	12.5	17.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	17.0	15.5	1.49	15.3	15.1	0.26
Tony Massenburg	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-16	17	14.6	15.9	-1.30	13.6	15.7	-2.10
Scott Padgett	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-16	17	15.2	15.7	-0.51	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Mark Jackson	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-9	3	15.2	15.7	-0.52	15.0	15.1	-0.17
John Amaechi	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-10	5	17.5	15.1	2.41	15.9	14.9	0.97
Andrei Kirilenko	57	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-10	5	15.4	15.8	-0.47	15.7	14.2	1.51
DeShawn Stevenson	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-15	15	13.0	16.4	-3.48	16.3	14.7	1.62
Calbert Cheaney	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-8	1	16.7	14.6	2.02	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Greg Ostertag	42	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	16.1	15.1	1.02	15.0	15.1	-0.11
John Stockton	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-4	-7	15.7	15.3	0.38	15.5	14.2	1.29
Karl Malone	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	1	-17	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.4	14.4	0.98
Matt Harpring	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.06	-18	3	-21	15.4	15.9	-0.49	14.6	16.5	-1.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	94	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	0	15	15.1	0.0	15.09	15.6	0.0	15.55
Donyell Marshall	80	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	1	13	14.9	15.9	-0.91	15.1	17.9	-2.75
Jamal Crawford	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-3	21	14.6	17.1	-2.47	15.2	17.1	-1.93
Trenton Hassell	69	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	7	1	15.8	13.0	2.79	15.9	14.4	1.55
Eddy Curry	22	21	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	7	1	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.4	15.3	1.07
Marcus Fizer	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	11	-7	15.1	15.0	0.15	15.2	16.1	-0.85
Fred Hoiberg	22	20	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.08	3	12	-9	16.9	14.5	2.32	16.7	15.2	1.46
Corie Blount	13	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	13	-11	16.2	14.9	1.24	17.9	15.2	2.75
Tyson Chandler	18	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	13	-11	14.7	15.2	-0.45	15.8	15.5	0.38
Eddie Robinson	22	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	14	-13	12.7	15.8	-3.14	14.5	15.8	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 74, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIL 78, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 71, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%