NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	5.3 [601]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +21.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.5 [580]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MIN): -11.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.01	18	56%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	64%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	13	23%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.09	-0.02	17	64%	0.28	3	-0.06	11	73%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	11	86%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	16	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	25.5	15.6	24.0	1.5	32.2	127.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.9%

MIN +9.7%

MIN +16.6%

POR -16.1%

MIN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	17.0	15.6	102.2	119.1	102.8
season	15.7	15.3		104.1	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	14.7	16.6	13.3	14.9
MIN	16.9	15.3	16.1	19.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	11.0	14.9	-3.95	13.0	17.0	-4.00
Nolan Smith	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	11.0	14.9	-3.95	13.0	17.0	-4.00
Kurt Thomas	14	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-15	18	13.4	15.2	-1.82	19.6	16.5	3.04
Joel Przybilla	7	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-6	0	12.7	15.1	-2.37	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Elliot Williams	19	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-5	-2	13.4	15.3	-1.87	19.1	16.4	2.67
Marcus Camby	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-6	0	16.8	13.9	2.93	17.1	16.9	0.27
Jamal Crawford	58	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-10	8	14.5	15.6	-1.04	16.1	18.4	-2.36
Nicolas Batum	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	15.5	13.8	1.71	17.0	16.8	0.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-6	0	14.8	15.1	-0.34	16.9	17.1	-0.22
Wesley Matthews	63	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-10	8	14.2	16.5	-2.31	17.5	15.7	1.83
Gerald Wallace	87	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	15.0	13.0	2.01	17.0	16.6	0.42
Raymond Felton	63	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	3	-18	15.6	13.5	2.07	16.4	18.2	-1.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	83	86	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.05	19	-7	26	17.0	16.5	0.49	14.9	14.7	0.25
Luke Ridnour	68	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-5	22	17.3	16.0	1.31	15.2	14.1	1.07
Wesley Johnson	53	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-6	24	16.2	18.0	-1.75	15.4	14.2	1.25
Derrick Williams	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	6	0	17.0	16.7	0.32	14.2	16.8	-2.60
Martell Webster	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	6	0	17.6	16.5	1.09	14.4	15.3	-0.94
Michael Beasley	15	17	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	16.1	17.1	-0.99	13.3	15.3	-1.97
Ricky Rubio	50	51	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	18	-24	16.7	17.3	-0.63	15.2	14.6	0.62
Jose Juan Barea	43	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	15	-18	17.4	16.5	0.85	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Darko Milicic	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	13	-14	16.7	17.1	-0.42	16.4	14.1	2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.8%
HOU 108, MIL 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 82, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%