NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	4.3 [923]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +16.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	118		Comeback	1.3 [388]		LVP	Elliot Perry (MIL): -10.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Eddie Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Emanual Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	46%	-0.03	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.00	4	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	19	54%	0.00	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Brent Price	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	36%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.02	23	65%	0.18	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	15	59%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	18	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	85%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	14	44%	-0.02	5	-0.09	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.7	1.8	26.4	15.3	24.5	1.5	33.2	122.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +44.2%

MIL +4.0%

HOU -1.4%

MIL +0.7%

MIL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	13.8	16.0	15.6	112.5	121.6	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		104.5	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.2		102.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	14.1	16.0	10.7	13.8
MIL	17.0	15.3	15.3	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrick Rhodes	41	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-19	28	11.6	15.5	-3.84	16.1	15.9	0.22
Emanual Davis	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-18	26	8.5	14.7	-6.19	13.5	16.4	-2.96
Brent Price	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-10	10	12.0	15.6	-3.55	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Eddie Johnson	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-13	16	12.9	14.7	-1.88	14.9	17.1	-2.27
Othella Harrington	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-6	2	13.5	14.4	-0.97	14.8	18.2	-3.41
Hakeem Olajuwon	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	2	-14	14.1	13.3	0.79	17.5	12.8	4.72
Matt Bullard	44	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	4	-18	15.2	12.6	2.61	16.7	15.4	1.25
Matt Maloney	49	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	0	-10	15.6	12.0	3.55	16.8	15.2	1.57
Kevin Willis	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	1	-12	14.8	12.4	2.46	16.6	15.1	1.48
Mario Elie	55	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	9	-28	15.5	11.6	3.84	15.9	16.1	-0.22

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	92	90	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-3	16	15.8	19.4	-3.56	14.1	10.0	4.07
Ray Allen	96	95	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	0	10	16.1	11.0	5.07	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Ervin Johnson	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-5	20	16.8	11.2	5.62	14.1	12.0	2.07
Jerald Honeycutt	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	4	2	15.6	17.0	-1.47	13.1	15.4	-2.28
Armen Gilliam	84	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	16.5	12.7	3.84	13.9	13.0	0.94
Jamie Feick	16	15	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	14.3	16.4	-2.05	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Michael Curry	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	5	0	16.8	15.6	1.21	14.2	13.6	0.66
Litterial Green	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	7.8	16.6	-8.73	8.8	14.1	-5.31
Andrew Lang	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	13	-16	14.0	16.2	-2.18	15.2	13.7	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 82, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
UTA 98, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.7%
ATL 84, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%