NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	5.5 [566]		MVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): +18.9%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	1.4 [791]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -12.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	7	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0	0.07	-0.01	0.05	15	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	70%	0.14	8	-0.16	7	86%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	9	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	9	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	7	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	21	62%	0.19	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.11	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	10	55%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	44%	0.01	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	-0.05	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	5	29%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	25.2	16.4	26.1	1.8	33.0	131.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.5%

PHX -7.9%

PHX -3.5%

DAL +13.1%

DAL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.6	93.5	101.1	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		104.7	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	14.5	14.3	16.5	14.8
DAL	14.2	16.8	17.0	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	54	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.39	11	-17	28	13.6	16.3	-2.70	18.0	13.8	4.23
Shannon Brown	48	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-6	6	16.1	13.4	2.73	16.2	16.5	-0.33
Sebastian Telfair	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-2	-2	17.1	14.0	3.11	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Grant Hill	67	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-10	14	13.8	17.2	-3.42	16.8	15.2	1.62
Marcin Gortat	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-12	18	14.5	15.7	-1.17	16.9	14.6	2.34
Robin Lopez	21	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	6	-18	15.7	14.5	1.17	14.6	16.9	-2.34
Jared Dudley	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.6	13.9	1.72	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Ronnie Price	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	4	-14	14.0	15.1	-1.13	16.5	16.3	0.23
Steve Nash	71	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-4	2	14.0	17.1	-3.11	16.7	15.4	1.34
Channing Frye	34	31	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	17	-40	16.1	14.0	2.09	13.0	18.1	-5.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-4	14	15.7	17.8	-2.11	15.3	13.7	1.62
Brendan Haywood	38	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	-6	18	16.8	16.1	0.74	13.3	15.8	-2.48
Jason Kidd	63	63	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	1	4	17.3	14.4	2.82	13.6	17.3	-3.74
Brian Cardinal	32	33	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-4	14	14.8	17.2	-2.40	16.6	13.8	2.81
Brandan Wright	19	19	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	-3	12	13.7	17.1	-3.40	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Rodrigue Beaubois	33	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	6	-6	15.0	17.2	-2.15	17.2	13.4	3.80
Shawn Marion	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	9	-12	17.3	14.7	2.60	13.6	16.9	-3.33
Delonte West	45	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	4	-2	17.2	15.6	1.60	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Lamar Odom	53	53	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.39	-9	15	-24	17.2	15.3	1.86	15.1	14.3	0.73
Ian Mahinmi	54	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	12	-18	16.1	16.8	-0.74	15.8	13.3	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 94, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.8%