NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	5.8 [697]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +14.9%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	1.2 [1100]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -11.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	72%	0.10	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	12	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	18	61%	-0.06
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	12	64%	0.05	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	0.06	18	49%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	12	65%	0.21	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	81%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	76%	0.15	5	-0.14	11	91%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	48%	0.06	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	15	53%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	26.4	19.5	32.4	3.5	47.4	155.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +51.7%

MIN -3.4%

IND +6.8%

MIN -3.5%

MIN -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	16.6	15.5	107.4	114.0	104.0
season	15.8	16.8		106.2	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	15.8	12.8	12.4	14.1
IND	17.5	18.5	17.2	13.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	19	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-7	10	14.2	14.0	0.20	18.9	16.1	2.85
Fred Hoiberg	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-7	10	13.2	14.8	-1.58	15.7	17.4	-1.64
Troy Hudson	59	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-12	20	13.6	14.7	-1.08	15.2	18.7	-3.43
Mark Madsen	37	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	3	-10	14.4	13.8	0.53	16.9	16.4	0.49
Latrell Sprewell	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-2	0	13.4	16.0	-2.51	16.2	17.8	-1.58
Trenton Hassell	42	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	9	-22	15.4	13.0	2.38	17.2	16.2	1.07
Sam Cassell	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	3	-10	15.1	13.4	1.64	18.7	15.2	3.43
Kevin Garnett	87	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	0	-4	13.7	17.7	-4.04	16.3	19.6	-3.30
Wally Szczerbiak	78	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-3	2	14.4	12.5	1.93	16.8	15.8	0.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	73	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-4	12	16.2	18.1	-1.89	14.3	13.2	1.12
Austin Croshere	72	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	16.0	18.6	-2.59	14.1	13.8	0.37
Scot Pollard	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	0	4	16.9	16.1	0.89	14.8	12.9	1.81
Fred Jones	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	16.7	16.1	0.65	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Jamaal Tinsley	80	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	16.1	19.9	-3.85	13.6	17.4	-3.74
Eddie Gill	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.15	1	3	-2	16.0	17.2	-1.23	13.3	14.7	-1.46
David Harrison	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	3	-2	18.5	15.7	2.79	14.5	13.8	0.70
Tremaine Fowlkes	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	4	-4	18.3	16.4	1.89	15.9	13.8	2.06
Britton Johnsen	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	18.6	16.0	2.59	13.8	14.1	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.68,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.75,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
MIA 87, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	94.1%
PHI 82, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.0%