NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	5.6 [673]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +8.2%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	1.2 [1147]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arnett Moultrie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	19	54%	0.11	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	18	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	30%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Evan Turner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	16	36%	-0.09	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	12	70%	0.15	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	5	42%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.05	11	37%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	14	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.06	15	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	3.5	28.2	18.5	29.7	3.5	35.5	142.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.6%

CHI +13.9%

CHI +6.5%

CHI +4.6%

CHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	16.7	15.4	86.3	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	16.6		100.5	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	14.0	15.1	13.1	14.0
CHI	17.6	14.8	17.0	17.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arnett Moultrie	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-11	11	12.5	14.2	-1.75	15.0	16.9	-1.95
Lavoy Allen	30	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-15	19	13.6	14.2	-0.52	16.5	16.7	-0.19
Jeremy Pargo	25	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	14.9	13.7	1.26	17.4	16.4	0.94
Nick Young	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-12	13	13.9	14.1	-0.23	18.1	15.1	2.99
Dorell Wright	51	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	13.5	14.5	-1.04	15.3	18.3	-3.02
Spencer Hawes	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-5	-1	14.0	14.0	-0.01	17.3	14.8	2.44
Evan Turner	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	14.1	13.5	0.56	16.6	17.1	-0.54
Jrue Holiday	83	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	2	-15	14.0	14.2	-0.20	16.4	18.5	-2.16
Thaddeus Young	76	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.06	-21	10	-31	14.4	12.3	2.09	16.7	16.7	0.01

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	81	82	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	0	11	16.5	17.7	-1.23	14.1	13.1	1.06
Joakim Noah	87	88	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	16.9	14.2	2.68	14.1	12.4	1.69
Kirk Hinrich	77	78	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	1	9	16.7	16.7	-0.01	14.1	13.6	0.42
Marco Belinelli	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-4	19	15.4	18.3	-2.89	15.0	12.7	2.29
Nate Robinson	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	5	1	17.1	16.3	0.79	13.3	14.5	-1.10
Carlos Boozer	65	66	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	7	-3	17.0	15.9	1.07	14.6	12.7	1.92
Jimmy Butler	43	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	12	-13	17.5	16.0	1.51	12.4	15.4	-2.94
Daequan Cook	14	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	12	-13	17.1	16.6	0.46	13.1	14.2	-1.11
Nazr Mohammed	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	14.2	16.9	-2.68	12.4	14.1	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.0%
LAL 86, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1	94.7%
HOU 94, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%