NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	5.0 [808]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +17.8%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.2 [872]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): -7.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	27	60%	0.21	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	12	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	21	61%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.06	-0.04	11	62%	0.17	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	12	75%	0.11	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	29.4	21.6	30.4	3.5	48.5	163.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.7%

BOS +1.9%

BOS +5.3%

LAL -0.4%

LAL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	15.3	100.0	105.7	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		107.9	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	18.9	17.6	13.3	16.6
BOS	15.0	16.2	17.5	18.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	22	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-6	6	17.9	16.2	1.74	17.5	16.4	1.13
Luke Walton	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	17.2	16.5	0.64	15.7	16.8	-1.08
Sasha Vujacic	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	19.1	16.0	3.04	17.3	16.5	0.76
Lamar Odom	44	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-13	20	15.7	17.6	-1.87	17.5	15.7	1.81
Metta World Peace	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	16.3	17.5	-1.24	16.8	16.5	0.30
Andrew Bynum	58	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	6	-18	17.7	14.4	3.35	17.0	16.2	0.83
Derek Fisher	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	0	-6	16.2	17.9	-1.74	16.4	17.5	-1.13
Pau Gasol	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	1	-8	16.3	18.1	-1.78	15.9	19.9	-4.06
Kobe Bryant	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.3	21.2	-4.89	16.6	17.2	-0.63

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	72	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	16.6	17.3	-0.71	16.4	17.7	-1.32
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	0	6	16.6	17.0	-0.42	16.3	17.7	-1.48
Kendrick Perkins	57	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	16.4	17.3	-0.95	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Paul Pierce	78	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.30	3	3	0	16.7	16.8	-0.11	16.4	18.4	-2.02
Rajon Rondo	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	2	2	15.9	20.5	-4.58	16.1	18.9	-2.81
Nate Robinson	15	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	4	-2	20.5	15.9	4.58	18.9	16.1	2.81
Rasheed Wallace	27	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	4	-2	17.3	16.4	0.84	17.2	16.4	0.77
Tony Allen	24	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	7	-8	17.1	16.5	0.56	18.0	16.1	1.92
Glen Davis	24	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	7	-8	17.1	16.5	0.56	18.0	16.1	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.0%
PHI 82, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.7%
OKC 106, BKN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%