NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Excitement	6.2 [599]		MVP	Cameron Payne (OKC): +15.0%
Brooklyn Nets	116		Comeback	1.0 [112]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -17.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Payne	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	22	59%	0.15	5	-0.12	10	80%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	12	33%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.06	0.08	27	46%	-0.09	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	19	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	41%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	12	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.01
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.00	17	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	26.5	15.3	26.4	1.8	31.0	125.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +3.5%

BKN +13.3%

BKN +19.4%

BKN +12.4%

BKN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BKN	NBA	OKC	BKN	NBA
this game	13.0	16.2	14.9	108.2	117.2	105.1
season	14.4	15.0		111.5	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.2	13.0	12.2	13.9	13.0
BKN	16.2	14.7	16.1	18.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	28	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-13	16	13.5	12.8	0.72	13.5	17.2	-3.61
Anthony Morrow	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-12	14	9.6	13.4	-3.81	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Andre Roberson	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-3	-4	13.0	13.0	-0.08	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Nick Collison	22	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-4	-2	13.9	12.8	1.09	17.3	15.8	1.49
Enes Kanter	63	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-10	10	13.1	12.9	0.17	15.6	17.3	-1.78
Dion Waiters	68	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-9	8	12.7	13.8	-1.08	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Serge Ibaka	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	13.4	12.4	1.01	16.7	15.4	1.32
Kyle Singler	42	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	13.8	12.5	1.30	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Kevin Durant	82	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	12.7	14.8	-2.14	16.7	13.5	3.15
Russell Westbrook	79	82	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.18	-15	5	-20	13.0	13.1	-0.04	16.9	12.6	4.29

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	63	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-8	26	17.1	14.6	2.54	13.8	11.7	2.12
Wayne Ellington	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-3	16	16.6	15.7	0.85	13.0	13.0	0.04
Thaddeus Young	80	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	4	2	16.9	13.1	3.90	12.8	14.0	-1.25
Joe Johnson	73	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	16.7	14.8	1.89	12.8	13.7	-0.89
Donald Sloan	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	17.1	15.1	2.00	12.8	13.3	-0.59
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	9	-8	15.9	16.6	-0.63	13.0	13.1	-0.13
Shane Larkin	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	7	-4	14.6	17.6	-3.02	13.4	12.7	0.62
Andrea Bargnani	17	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	7	-4	13.1	16.8	-3.72	14.1	12.8	1.34
Sergey Karasev	13	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	12.4	16.8	-4.39	14.5	12.8	1.73
Willie Reed	34	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	18	-26	15.2	16.7	-1.47	11.6	13.8	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.0%
TOR 96, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	94.8%
ORL 98, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%