NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	5.5 [715]		MVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): +15.7%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.2 [667]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -21.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	69%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monty Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	11	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	16	47%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.20	-0.03	-0.01	21	28%	-0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.02	-0.04	20	68%	0.26	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	12	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.04	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	17	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.8	30.3	19.3	28.6	2.5	30.5	136.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.7%

IND +10.3%

IND +3.9%

ORL -15.0%

IND +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	12.7	15.9	15.6	98.0	109.9	102.3
season	14.6	15.3		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		100.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.5	13.3	15.8	9.5	12.7
IND	13.7	17.2	13.7	19.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	9	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-16	19	11.1	12.9	-1.77	16.9	15.8	1.09
Jud Buechler	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-14	15	9.4	12.9	-3.49	17.8	15.8	1.98
Don Reid	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-11	9	13.4	12.6	0.79	16.2	15.9	0.36
Monty Williams	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-9	5	12.2	12.9	-0.67	16.2	15.8	0.33
Patrick Ewing	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-11	9	15.2	11.9	3.29	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Troy Hudson	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-8	3	11.4	14.2	-2.74	16.5	15.3	1.17
Mike Miller	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-1	-11	12.0	14.9	-2.88	16.8	13.3	3.51
Darrell Armstrong	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-5	-3	12.9	12.4	0.46	16.4	14.8	1.62
Horace Grant	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-1	-11	13.9	10.9	3.08	14.0	18.5	-4.55
Tracy McGrady	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	-3	-7	13.0	11.2	1.75	15.8	16.7	-0.94
Pat Garrity	87	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	1	-15	12.6	13.8	-1.29	15.8	16.8	-1.06

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	91	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	16.3	12.3	4.02	12.7	12.6	0.16
Jermaine O'Neal	82	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-3	19	16.2	14.6	1.59	12.9	11.9	1.02
Metta World Peace	88	86	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	2	9	16.4	12.5	3.88	12.7	12.9	-0.24
Jonathan Bender	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-4	21	14.8	17.9	-3.07	13.8	10.6	3.22
Austin Croshere	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.02	12	1	11	16.6	14.1	2.51	12.1	14.3	-2.22
Brad Miller	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	13	-13	14.7	17.3	-2.57	13.3	12.1	1.20
Kevin Ollie	30	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	17.0	15.5	1.49	11.2	13.4	-2.21
Jeff Foster	24	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	15	-17	13.8	16.6	-2.74	11.7	13.1	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CLE 72, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%
NOP 121, GSW 131	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%