NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	121		Excitement	5.5 [766]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +20.5%
Golden State Warriors	131		Comeback	1.3 [1154]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -7.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.02	0.03	15	74%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	16	66%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	61%	0.04	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.05	19	57%	0.04	4	-0.10	11	73%	0.01
Frank Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	0.00	0.05	16	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.04	0.04	20	79%	0.29	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	65%	0.17	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Jacob Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	17	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	0.8	29.2	18.8	28.8	1.0	29.3	140.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.5%

NOP -5.6%

GSW +9.4%

GSW +2.3%

NOP -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	12.5	14.3	113.1	122.4	109.3
season	13.4	13.4		110.2	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.2		108.9	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.6	15.2	15.2	15.1	14.4
GSW	10.9	12.5	12.1	14.9	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-15	20	15.1	14.2	0.85	14.9	11.8	3.12
Solomon Hill	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-9	8	14.2	14.5	-0.25	14.5	11.8	2.70
Nikola Mirotic	74	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	13.7	16.0	-2.33	12.3	12.8	-0.45
Tim Frazier	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-5	0	14.7	14.2	0.50	11.2	13.5	-2.33
Frank Jackson	40	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.6	14.9	-1.31	12.8	12.3	0.44
Anthony Davis	89	90	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-8	6	14.8	12.7	2.11	12.8	11.1	1.64
E'Twaun Moore	87	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-5	0	14.8	12.9	1.87	12.1	14.1	-2.05
Julius Randle	51	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.07	-23	13	-36	14.8	14.0	0.81	12.2	12.7	-0.48
Jrue Holiday	95	95	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	5	-20	14.2	16.2	-2.06	12.2	14.7	-2.45

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	84	84	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-9	28	11.8	15.0	-3.19	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Kevin Durant	91	92	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-2	14	12.1	14.9	-2.80	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Kevon Looney	47	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-6	22	12.0	12.8	-0.81	14.3	14.5	-0.25
Jonas Jerebko	38	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	1	8	12.7	12.4	0.37	14.3	14.5	-0.23
Draymond Green	77	76	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	12	-14	12.5	12.4	0.18	14.6	14.0	0.64
Alfonzo McKinnie	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	14.2	12.0	2.22	13.0	14.9	-1.83
Jacob Evans	3	2	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	8	-6	13.3	12.5	0.86	9.5	14.5	-5.01
Andre Iguodala	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.10	-1	11	-12	14.1	11.6	2.45	16.6	13.2	3.37
Damian Jones	25	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	10	-10	11.0	13.0	-2.00	14.5	14.4	0.13
Klay Thompson	82	82	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	18	-26	12.5	12.6	-0.08	14.8	13.1	1.70
Jordan Bell	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	11	-12	14.1	12.0	2.05	13.4	14.7	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SEA 78, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 82, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%