NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	78		Excitement	4.5 [925]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.5%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	1.1 [1073]		LVP	Johan Petro (SEA): -15.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	14	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	8	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	13	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	8	17%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.02	0.04	18	73%	0.19	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	9	15%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	31.8	16.5	27.6	1.7	26.2	127.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.7%

SEA -10.3%

SAS +7.9%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.6	88.6	118.4	104.4
season	15.0	16.3		108.9	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		99.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.2	15.3	16.4	15.6	15.6
SAS	14.8	16.7	18.8	19.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	13.1	15.8	-2.67	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Rick Brunson	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-22	19	14.9	15.7	-0.80	15.5	17.7	-2.24
Mikki Moore	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.23	-11	-14	3	15.6	15.6	0.02	21.0	15.6	5.39
Damien Wilkins	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.16	-10	-15	5	15.8	15.4	0.41	19.5	15.3	4.17
Nick Collison	47	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-15	5	16.2	14.9	1.36	18.0	16.4	1.59
Ronald Murray	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-9	-7	16.8	14.7	2.14	18.5	16.3	2.21
Johan Petro	54	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-15	5	14.9	16.7	-1.75	15.6	19.9	-4.24
Ray Allen	62	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-9	-7	15.2	16.7	-1.49	17.4	17.1	0.36
Rashard Lewis	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	-10	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.41	15.3	19.5	-4.17
Chris Wilcox	42	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	-9	-7	16.2	15.1	1.08	16.4	18.0	-1.60
Luke Ridnour	62	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-10	-5	15.5	16.0	-0.51	16.9	18.3	-1.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	64	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.19	22	3	19	17.0	18.1	-1.10	15.3	16.5	-1.26
Tony Parker	58	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	5	15	17.2	17.6	-0.45	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Fabricio Oberto	28	29	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	7	11	19.0	16.5	2.53	17.4	14.7	2.75
Nazr Mohammed	41	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	11	3	14.9	19.5	-4.67	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Tim Duncan	62	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	17	-9	17.1	17.8	-0.67	14.5	18.3	-3.79
Michael Finley	38	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	10	5	17.8	17.0	0.83	16.8	14.6	2.19
Manu Ginobili	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	15	-5	16.7	18.0	-1.37	14.8	16.5	-1.63
Rasho Nesterovic	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	17	-9	19.0	16.1	2.97	16.7	14.8	1.95
Brent Barry	21	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	19	-13	18.0	17.1	0.96	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Beno Udrih	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	22	-19	20.7	16.3	4.41	16.3	15.4	0.90
Sean Marks	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	17.7	17.3	0.37	11.0	15.9	-4.88
Nick Van Exel	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	26	-27	13.8	17.9	-4.18	17.1	15.3	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 129, NOP 149	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
BOS 98, BKN 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%