NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	4.0 [1022]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +22.8%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	1.3 [1169]		LVP	Kris Humphries (BOS): -7.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.03	0.00	19	74%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	46%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Chris Babb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.25	0.02	0.04	16	82%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	7	90%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.06	6	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	27.6	15.7	25.3	2.4	27.2	125.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +44.7%

BOS -3.0%

BKN +5.7%

BKN +3.1%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	16.8	15.1	15.1	108.9	125.3	105.2
season	15.4	15.7		101.2	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.0	14.3	18.0	17.0	16.8
BKN	13.3	15.7	15.5	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Babb	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	18.5	16.7	1.77	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Joel Anthony	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-22	28	14.9	17.1	-2.28	16.9	14.7	2.16
Jerryd Bayless	45	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-13	10	16.3	17.2	-0.91	15.3	14.9	0.44
Phil Pressey	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-14	12	20.9	16.2	4.65	12.6	15.4	-2.76
Kelly Olynyk	30	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.14	-6	-10	4	14.7	17.8	-3.15	15.8	14.6	1.18
Chris Johnson	19	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-17	18	13.4	17.7	-4.31	16.9	14.5	2.33
Jared Sullinger	44	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-16	16	16.0	17.5	-1.50	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Avery Bradley	67	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-10	4	16.0	18.9	-2.88	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Brandon Bass	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	0	-16	17.5	16.0	1.50	15.5	14.6	0.92
Kris Humphries	45	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	0	-16	18.8	14.7	4.07	13.9	16.1	-2.29
Rajon Rondo	68	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	2	-20	16.8	16.7	0.05	15.3	14.3	1.08
Jeff Green	59	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.05	-22	6	-28	18.3	13.9	4.37	14.5	16.1	-1.56

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	57	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-4	24	14.7	15.7	-1.07	17.4	15.7	1.75
Deron Williams	47	48	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	14.4	15.8	-1.41	17.4	16.0	1.39
Mason Plumlee	38	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	1	14	14.7	15.3	-0.66	17.1	16.5	0.55
Paul Pierce	34	36	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	7	2	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.2	16.5	0.71
Alan Anderson	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	15.6	14.8	0.78	16.5	16.9	-0.38
Andrei Kirilenko	33	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	10	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.15	17.5	16.4	1.09
Mirza Teletovic	44	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.02	3	13	-10	14.7	15.4	-0.74	14.8	18.4	-3.60
Jorge Gutierrez	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	13	-10	15.7	14.7	0.94	17.2	16.5	0.75
Andray Blatche	43	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	14	-12	14.7	15.4	-0.74	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Shaun Livingston	41	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	15.7	14.6	1.08	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Jason Collins	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	18.2	14.7	3.52	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Marquis Teague	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	17.9	14.8	3.02	17.4	16.7	0.72
Marcus Thornton	37	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	17	-18	15.2	15.0	0.16	15.8	17.4	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 78, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 86, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%