NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Excitement	5.0 [820]		MVP	Baron Davis (NOH): +4.4%
New Orleans Hornets	82		Comeback	1.2 [1006]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -21.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	14	65%	0.13	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	14	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bruno Sundov	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	4	8%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Darius Miles	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.04
J.R. Bremer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	11	9%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.03	0.04	17	39%	-0.11	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	21	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	22	46%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	514.5	1.7	25.3	15.6	23.5	3.5	32.4	616.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +32.9%

CLE -0.1%

NOH +8.3%

NOH +8.1%

NOH +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.7	74.2	82.0	100.5
season	15.7	16.0		99.8	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		99.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	15.9	15.0	14.8	14.6
NOH	13.6	14.2	15.0	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	55	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.21	3	-13	16	14.2	15.2	-0.99	15.0	14.1	0.95
Bruno Sundov	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-5	0	17.1	13.9	3.15	15.2	14.5	0.73
Kevin Ollie	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-9	8	15.4	14.1	1.30	15.2	14.3	0.92
DeSagana Diop	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-5	0	14.7	14.6	0.04	15.2	14.3	0.85
Jason Kapono	70	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-9	8	14.0	16.2	-2.16	14.9	13.8	1.15
J.R. Bremer	43	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-5	0	15.4	14.0	1.46	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Darius Miles	66	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	0	-10	14.4	15.2	-0.78	14.4	15.0	-0.62
LeBron James	80	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	3	-16	14.4	15.7	-1.31	14.1	17.0	-2.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	82	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	3	-16	14.4	15.7	-1.31	14.3	16.1	-1.79

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	88	86	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-3	16	14.9	12.7	2.21	14.9	12.5	2.45
Jamaal Magloire	67	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-6	22	14.6	14.7	-0.08	14.8	14.2	0.69
P.J. Brown	75	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-1	12	14.6	14.6	0.07	14.7	14.3	0.45
David Wesley	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	2	6	14.1	16.0	-1.98	14.1	16.2	-2.14
George Lynch	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	3	4	14.3	15.3	-0.99	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Steven Smith	34	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	7	-4	15.3	14.3	0.99	16.2	13.9	2.28
Darrell Armstrong	44	41	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	11	-12	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.7	14.6	0.18
Sean Rooks	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	11	-12	15.1	14.4	0.68	14.4	14.7	-0.25
David West	30	28	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	16	-22	15.3	14.3	0.94	14.4	14.7	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
LAC 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%