NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	4.9 [675]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +13.1%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.2 [1005]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -22.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	7	76%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	16	68%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	58%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	17	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Paul	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.04	-0.01	13	23%	-0.10	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	8	80%	0.16	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	13	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	87%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	20	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.04	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.8	29.3	19.4	29.4	3.5	33.3	145.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.2%

SAS +5.5%

SAS +15.7%

LAC -0.6%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.6	94.8	111.3	102.8
season	16.2	15.3		106.0	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	15.7	16.1	14.3	14.9
SAS	12.6	13.7	15.9	17.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	11.8	15.1	-3.25	19.0	14.6	4.42
Nick Young	43	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-20	24	12.8	16.6	-3.76	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Reggie Evans	19	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-16	16	12.5	15.5	-3.00	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Mo Williams	45	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-20	24	12.8	16.7	-3.98	15.2	14.5	0.66
Kenyon Martin	50	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-19	22	13.8	16.0	-2.20	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Eric Bledsoe	54	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	14.1	15.8	-1.71	13.8	16.1	-2.32
DeAndre Jordan	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-6	-4	15.8	14.1	1.62	15.1	14.6	0.53
Randy Foye	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.0	14.1	1.89	16.2	13.8	2.46
Chris Paul	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	2	-20	16.0	11.3	4.64	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Caron Butler	56	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	6	-28	16.5	12.7	3.73	15.3	14.1	1.21
Blake Griffin	54	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.15	-24	8	-32	16.5	12.8	3.68	14.7	14.9	-0.18

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	66	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.12	26	-10	36	15.5	13.3	2.18	16.0	12.3	3.70
Tony Parker	74	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.15	26	-10	36	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.8	12.0	3.73
Boris Diaw	52	52	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.16	24	-8	32	15.2	14.4	0.75	16.8	12.6	4.18
Danny Green	58	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	2	12	16.3	12.6	3.66	14.8	15.0	-0.28
Manu Ginobili	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	4	8	12.5	18.0	-5.49	15.2	14.4	0.84
Kawhi Leonard	55	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	7	2	15.9	13.4	2.51	15.7	13.8	1.83
Patty Mills	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.5	14.7	2.75	12.0	14.9	-2.92
DeJuan Blair	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.5	14.7	2.75	12.0	14.9	-2.92
James Anderson	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	17	-18	17.5	14.7	2.75	8.0	15.0	-7.03
Gary Neal	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	24	-32	15.5	14.5	1.00	12.7	15.7	-3.00
Stephen Jackson	44	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	22	-28	14.4	15.1	-0.68	13.0	16.4	-3.31
Matt Bonner	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	23	-30	11.8	15.5	-3.75	11.2	15.8	-4.57
Tiago Splitter	29	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	27	-38	13.0	15.6	-2.52	12.3	16.0	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 69, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
IND 96, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%