NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	69		Excitement	3.5 [1098]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +8.6%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	1.2 [1036]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	35%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	12	31%	-0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	7	87%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	52%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	8	59%	0.06	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	29.6	17.7	29.0	3.8	34.2	146.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.3%

DET +2.0%

PHI -7.0%

DET +9.0%

PHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	15.7	79.3	97.7	100.5
season	16.2	16.2		96.7	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.8		92.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	18.1	19.3	14.2	17.1
DET	16.1	17.0	14.3	16.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-12	8	15.5	17.8	-2.34	16.0	15.9	0.10
Greg Buckner	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-14	12	14.8	18.1	-3.28	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Samuel Dalembert	37	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-13	10	16.9	17.3	-0.43	16.9	15.3	1.66
Derrick Coleman	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	17.0	17.2	-0.26	14.5	16.7	-2.19
Kyle Korver	27	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-6	-4	14.7	18.2	-3.48	15.7	16.1	-0.37
Willie Green	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-10	4	15.1	20.1	-4.98	15.3	16.9	-1.53
Marc Jackson	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	15.6	17.9	-2.28	17.0	15.5	1.53
John Salmons	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-9	2	17.8	15.5	2.32	15.9	16.1	-0.22
Aaron McKie	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	20.1	15.1	4.98	16.9	15.3	1.53
Eric Snow	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-3	-10	18.5	14.2	4.36	16.4	14.9	1.51
Kenny Thomas	54	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	-1	-14	19.0	14.1	4.91	15.5	16.7	-1.13

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-3	22	15.9	16.3	-0.45	18.0	14.2	3.81
Ben Wallace	59	58	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	0	16	15.7	16.5	-0.79	18.4	14.6	3.88
Rasheed Wallace	53	52	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-4	24	16.3	15.5	0.76	18.7	14.9	3.77
Richard Hamilton	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	4	8	16.5	15.1	1.36	19.4	13.2	6.25
Lindsey Hunter	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	7	2	15.5	16.7	-1.16	15.0	20.2	-5.17
Corliss Williamson	40	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	10	-4	14.9	16.9	-1.97	16.5	17.6	-1.09
Tayshaun Prince	43	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	17	-18	15.7	16.2	-0.44	18.3	16.0	2.30
Mike James	32	33	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	15	-14	16.9	15.4	1.49	13.0	19.6	-6.62
Darko Milicic	6	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.5	15.9	1.65	11.4	17.7	-6.35
Mehmet Okur	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	16	-16	16.5	15.7	0.79	14.6	18.4	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, SAS 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
IND 96, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAC 92, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%