inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 105 Excitement4.4 [928] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +17.6%
San Antonio Spurs 118 Comeback1.3 [1137] LVPSpeedy Claxton (SAS): -6.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Kemp0.130,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.017100%0.141-0.013100%0.01
Steven Hunter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.04580%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031141%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Olumide Oyedeji0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00437%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00357%0.022-0.051100%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02325%-0.031-0.012100%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021461%0.024-0.063100%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.04825%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Jeryl Sasser-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02275%-0.022-0.03475%-0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.020.032653%0.023-0.08580%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.140.03-0.011080%0.1800.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.010.01687%0.1000.004100%0.02
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.01967%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.001557%0.061-0.03580%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01970%0.103-0.082100%0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.000.044112%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.03758%0.022-0.015100%0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00670%0.032-0.03875%-0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04643%0.021-0.0320%-0.02
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.04233%-0.034-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.827.516.021.62.032.2126.3
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +46.8%
SAS +5.5%
ORL -4.8%
SAS +1.5%
SAS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game14.916.015.5111.7126.9101.6
season14.615.7102.7102.5
opponent15.415.896.9103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.315.315.414.414.9
SAS15.714.715.917.516.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olumide Oyedeji55-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-151711.615.0-3.4318.615.82.79
Andrew DeClercq2324-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-161913.815.2-1.3615.916.0-0.05
Chris Whitney2829-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-141514.714.9-0.2516.815.61.27
Jeryl Sasser2826-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-121113.815.3-1.4716.315.80.43
Steven Hunter2021-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-10715.314.70.5715.216.2-0.99
Darrell Armstrong5351-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-8314.415.4-1.0415.516.5-1.03
Pat Garrity4443-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-6-114.914.80.1516.015.90.04
Shawn Kemp4442-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-4-515.314.50.7916.015.90.17
Jacque Vaughn4142-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-5-315.414.41.0416.515.51.03
Drew Gooden5251-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-1-1115.014.60.3815.916.0-0.04
Gordan Giricek6968-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-152-1714.416.0-1.6215.716.8-1.10
Tracy McGrady6363-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-11-2-915.912.83.0515.716.4-0.65

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker61620.57-0.070.64-0.0722-93115.616.6-0.9215.114.40.72
Bruce Bowen66670.57-0.070.64-0.1123-103315.616.7-1.1016.012.04.05
Tim Duncan69700.52-0.020.55-0.0921-82916.016.0-0.0015.612.72.82
David Robinson43430.340.160.180.02112915.516.4-0.8715.314.50.75
Stephen Jackson37400.290.210.08-0.00103715.916.0-0.0614.515.1-0.57
Steven Smith21210.110.39-0.280.02310-715.016.2-1.2415.014.80.25
Kevin Willis30300.100.40-0.290.16-215-1715.616.1-0.4814.315.1-0.76
Manu Ginobili47470.080.42-0.340.14-215-1716.615.31.2514.015.7-1.66
Malik Rose36380.030.47-0.440.09-215-1716.515.60.8913.815.6-1.78
Danny Ferry870.000.50-0.500.06-215-1717.215.81.4113.115.0-1.85
Speedy Claxton3434-0.060.56-0.620.15-720-2716.515.60.9013.915.4-1.43
Steve Kerr1311-0.060.56-0.620.23-1023-3317.015.81.2113.515.0-1.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 69, DET 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
NYK 95, CHA 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
LAC 92, SAS 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,196.0%