NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	4.2 [997]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +10.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	108		Comeback	1.1 [1185]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -13.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jackie Butler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	65%	0.06	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	72%	0.11	6	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
David Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	83%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	17	67%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	19	51%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	45%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.0	15.0	26.7	1.5	30.5	129.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +30.4%

NYK -9.7%

CHA +17.5%

CHA +10.2%

CHA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.6	102.2	113.7	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	16.1	15.7	13.7	14.9
CHA	14.0	15.9	15.0	18.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	27	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-17	21	13.7	15.4	-1.77	18.3	14.7	3.57
Jackie Butler	32	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-13	13	14.1	15.3	-1.22	14.1	16.6	-2.56
Maurice Taylor	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-6	-1	17.0	14.2	2.74	16.0	15.6	0.34
Nate Robinson	44	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	12.8	16.9	-4.08	15.9	15.6	0.29
Quentin Richardson	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-11	9	14.3	15.7	-1.35	16.7	14.6	2.08
Trevor Ariza	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.6	14.7	0.91	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Channing Frye	66	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-10	7	13.8	17.6	-3.76	15.9	15.1	0.83
Malik Rose	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-1	-11	17.1	13.8	3.26	14.5	16.3	-1.72
Jamal Crawford	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.4	14.3	1.13	14.3	17.4	-3.17
Stephon Marbury	67	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-2	-9	15.4	13.6	1.82	16.7	13.3	3.42
Antonio Davis	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	4	-21	16.3	13.6	2.77	15.2	16.2	-1.04

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	74	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-6	25	16.3	13.7	2.56	15.1	14.2	0.91
Kareem Rush	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-8	29	15.7	15.7	0.01	14.9	14.9	0.04
Primoz Brezec	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.06	19	-6	25	16.3	14.9	1.41	15.7	13.8	1.92
Brevin Knight	69	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	16.1	14.5	1.61	15.8	12.7	3.08
Emeka Okafor	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	-1	15	16.3	14.9	1.30	15.3	14.3	1.03
Raymond Felton	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	9	-5	14.5	16.1	-1.61	12.7	15.8	-3.08
Sean May	30	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	19	-25	15.0	16.0	-1.08	13.4	15.6	-2.14
Jake Voskuhl	38	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	12	-11	13.5	17.2	-3.63	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Melvin Ely	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	15	-17	19.5	15.2	4.34	17.9	14.6	3.33
Keith Bogans	20	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	21	-29	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Jumaine Jones	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	19	-25	13.7	16.3	-2.56	14.2	15.1	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAS 88, GSW 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIL 111, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%