NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	3.5 [1064]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): +11.9%
Golden State Warriors	114		Comeback	1.4 [844]		LVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): -13.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominique Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Greg Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Perdue	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Tim Kempton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	1	33%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sean Elliott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	7	28%	-0.06	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	16	66%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.04	14	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.6	23.2	14.8	28.5	0.8	27.3	118.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +52.0%

SAS -0.4%

GSW +3.5%

SAS -5.3%

GSW +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	93.6	122.6	104.4
season	16.8	15.0		100.8	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		109.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.1	19.0	15.3	13.6	15.7
GSW	14.9	15.2	16.0	14.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	40	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-19	12	15.3	15.9	-0.67	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Tim Kempton	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	14.7	15.8	-1.14	15.2	15.1	0.13
Cory Alexander	16	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-26	26	13.4	16.1	-2.75	15.1	15.2	-0.10
Greg Anderson	45	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.21	-8	-18	10	15.0	16.2	-1.18	15.7	14.6	1.16
Vernon Maxwell	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.27	-15	-11	-4	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.5	14.6	0.91
Dominique Wilkins	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-16	6	16.6	15.1	1.45	16.0	14.6	1.45
Carl Herrera	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.05	-12	-14	2	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Vinny Del Negro	59	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-7	-12	16.4	14.5	1.87	15.7	14.3	1.42
Avery Johnson	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-8	-10	15.7	15.5	0.19	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Sean Elliott	49	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	-8	-10	16.2	15.0	1.18	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Will Perdue	54	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	-5	-16	15.9	15.3	0.67	15.3	14.9	0.33

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	60	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.22	27	-1	28	14.6	16.1	-1.47	15.8	15.4	0.39
Chris Mullin	50	49	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	8	10	14.7	15.6	-0.86	16.2	15.0	1.18
Mark Price	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	10	6	14.7	15.6	-0.93	16.6	14.7	1.89
Latrell Sprewell	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	5	16	15.5	14.5	1.03	16.2	14.4	1.80
Todd Fuller	23	23	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	17	-8	14.7	15.3	-0.53	16.5	15.4	1.14
Felton Spencer	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	19	-12	16.1	14.6	1.48	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Bimbo Coles	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.20	10	16	-6	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Andrew DeClercq	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.22	10	16	-6	14.6	15.5	-0.95	15.5	15.8	-0.32
B.J. Armstrong	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.24	10	16	-6	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Donyell Marshall	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	25	-24	15.0	15.2	-0.18	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Ray Owes	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	15.2	15.1	0.13	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Donald Royal	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.09	1	25	-24	16.0	14.8	1.12	15.9	15.6	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAL 73, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 79, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%