NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	79		Excitement	4.5 [907]		MVP	Shammond Williams (BOS): +14.0%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.2 [732]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (NJN): -17.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	14	32%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.06	16	49%	0.00	7	-0.13	7	71%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	7	12%	-0.13	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	9	100%	0.17	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	12	84%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	7	31%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.18	0.01	-0.05	19	36%	-0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.03	-0.05	21	37%	-0.09	3	-0.05	7	29%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	479.4	2.6	27.2	15.8	29.0	2.6	26.3	582.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.8%

NJN -1.9%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +1.2%

NJN -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	16.2	15.5	81.4	103.2	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		101.1	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.1	15.0	15.0	13.9	14.2
BOS	14.7	16.3	15.0	18.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tamar Slay	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	16.2	14.1	2.14	19.5	16.0	3.49
Brian Scalabrine	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	16.2	14.1	2.14	19.5	16.0	3.49
Anthony Johnson	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	16.2	14.1	2.14	19.5	16.0	3.49
Jason Collins	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	13.2	14.3	-1.07	18.8	15.8	2.96
Aaron Williams	43	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	13.8	14.5	-0.69	16.5	15.9	0.55
Lucious Harris	47	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-10	3	14.4	14.0	0.36	14.8	17.3	-2.51
Rodney Rogers	51	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-16	15	13.6	14.8	-1.16	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Kenyon Martin	69	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	2	-21	13.7	15.4	-1.63	15.8	17.1	-1.34
Kerry Kittles	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-12	7	14.5	13.4	1.10	17.0	13.9	3.07
Richard Jefferson	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	-5	-7	14.9	12.3	2.68	16.8	14.0	2.77
Jason Kidd	72	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	1	-19	13.5	16.1	-2.59	15.8	17.2	-1.37
Dikembe Mutombo	45	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	2	-21	14.8	13.7	1.04	15.3	16.9	-1.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	79	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-3	23	16.2	15.8	0.44	14.4	13.2	1.15
Antoine Walker	78	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-2	21	15.9	17.6	-1.72	14.9	10.3	4.57
Eric Williams	64	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	11	-5	16.2	16.1	0.08	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Tony Battie	48	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	7	3	15.8	16.6	-0.81	15.0	13.4	1.58
Paul Pierce	63	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	9	-1	16.0	16.4	-0.35	14.4	13.6	0.81
Shammond Williams	63	63	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	11	-5	16.5	15.5	1.03	13.5	15.5	-1.96
Vin Baker	43	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	12	-7	16.5	15.9	0.57	13.3	15.0	-1.73
Walter McCarty	21	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	12	-7	15.7	16.3	-0.64	12.2	14.8	-2.59
J.R. Bremer	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	19.0	16.1	2.90	16.0	14.2	1.84
Bruno Sundov	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	19.0	16.1	2.90	16.0	14.2	1.84
Ruben Wolkowyski	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	19.0	16.1	2.90	16.0	14.2	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, GSW 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 77, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
TOR 62, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%