NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	5.2 [771]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +14.1%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.2 [889]		LVP	Marcus Banks (TOR): -9.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	15	74%	0.16	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sonny Weems	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.04	0.04	13	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.07	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	2.8	29.0	15.8	28.4	2.5	29.4	140.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.4%

BOS +9.4%

BOS +7.7%

BOS +9.1%

TOR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	17.1	15.3	105.5	113.2	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		109.6	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.1	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	17.2	12.0	15.8	14.6
BOS	13.7	17.9	18.0	19.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	18	19	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-14	21	13.6	14.8	-1.27	19.6	16.4	3.23
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	6	5	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-9	11	20.2	14.2	5.99	20.6	16.9	3.73
Marco Belinelli	36	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-14	21	14.3	14.7	-0.44	19.3	15.7	3.59
Marcus Banks	33	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-14	21	16.4	13.5	2.91	20.0	15.2	4.80
Rasho Nesterovic	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	16.7	14.5	2.17	14.3	17.2	-2.84
DeMar DeRozan	29	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	13.7	15.0	-1.34	16.2	17.5	-1.31
Antoine Wright	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.0	14.6	-0.65	11.3	17.9	-6.60
Sonny Weems	25	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	14.1	14.7	-0.62	15.4	17.7	-2.26
Hedo Turkoglu	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-6	5	14.9	13.1	1.82	17.4	15.9	1.48
Chris Bosh	76	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.8	13.3	1.48	17.0	17.7	-0.71
Andrea Bargnani	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	3	-13	14.1	17.9	-3.85	16.5	21.2	-4.71
Jarrett Jack	66	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.18	-14	7	-21	14.1	15.9	-1.86	16.0	19.8	-3.77

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	69	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-10	27	15.7	21.4	-5.65	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Ray Allen	64	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-4	15	16.0	19.6	-3.58	14.0	15.9	-1.96
Tony Allen	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	1	5	16.4	19.2	-2.78	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Kendrick Perkins	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-1	9	17.3	16.7	0.68	14.8	14.2	0.58
Eddie House	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	6	-5	18.5	15.4	3.11	15.7	13.2	2.50
J.R. Giddens	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	5	-3	15.6	18.4	-2.84	13.1	15.9	-2.71
Brian Scalabrine	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	7	-7	19.1	16.3	2.85	16.2	13.9	2.32
Glen Davis	37	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	8	-9	17.5	16.8	0.74	14.6	14.6	0.02
Lester Hudson	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	6	-5	19.2	16.4	2.78	16.2	14.1	2.12
Shelden Williams	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	17	-27	20.9	16.1	4.83	15.1	14.4	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 84, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.0%
OKC 106, BKN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%