NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	84		Excitement	5.2 [800]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +17.8%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	1.1 [1269]		LVP	Luke Babbitt (NOP): -17.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Frazier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	72%	0.22	6	-0.17	3	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	13	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	20	52%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	14	63%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	17	67%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	27.2	16.3	22.3	1.8	31.2	122.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.1%

IND +4.6%

NOP -14.8%

IND +16.9%

IND +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	14.9	85.7	93.9	105.1
season	14.3	14.6		104.3	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.6	14.9	15.3	12.8	14.8
IND	14.7	11.8	15.3	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-11	14	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Luke Babbitt	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-6	4	14.5	15.2	-0.72	13.7	15.4	-1.72
Alonzo Gee	85	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-8	8	14.8	15.1	-0.28	14.7	13.5	1.26
Toney Douglas	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	14.9	14.8	0.05	15.2	13.7	1.45
Tim Frazier	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	14.4	15.5	-1.12	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Omer Asik	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	5	-18	15.5	14.2	1.31	14.4	14.7	-0.26
Dante Cunningham	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-4	0	15.1	14.0	1.16	15.1	12.7	2.42
Alexis Ajinca	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	3	-14	14.5	15.9	-1.35	14.6	14.4	0.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	64	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	15.0	13.7	1.29	15.0	14.6	0.34
Myles Turner	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-2	12	15.2	13.4	1.83	15.0	14.6	0.38
Ian Mahinmi	58	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	15.7	12.9	2.71	14.9	14.8	0.12
George Hill	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	0	8	15.2	13.4	1.74	15.2	14.2	0.92
CJ Miles	54	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	14.7	14.4	0.34	13.8	16.3	-2.49
Paul George	40	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	1	6	14.4	14.7	-0.30	16.2	14.0	2.24
Ty Lawson	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	8	-8	13.4	15.2	-1.74	14.2	15.2	-0.92
Solomon Hill	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	14.5	14.6	-0.00	13.9	15.1	-1.11
Jordan Hill	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.05	1	7	-6	13.0	15.4	-2.38	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Rodney Stuckey	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	13	-18	13.4	15.3	-1.89	14.8	14.8	0.01
Lavoy Allen	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	11	-14	12.6	15.0	-2.45	15.3	14.7	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 106, ORL 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1	95.1%
TOR 96, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	95.0%