inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 81 Excitement5.3 [723] MVPShane Battier (HOU): +9.0%
Houston Rockets 89 Comeback1.1 [593] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -17.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00853%0.061-0.033100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.00450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.021751%0.021-0.041164%-0.04
Fabricio Oberto-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Darius Washington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tony Parker-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.020.061760%0.014-0.0610%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.03-0.021537%-0.065-0.11850%-0.04

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.010.055120%0.101-0.0100%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.011156%0.092-0.05367%-0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.02-0.021250%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.02-0.032452%0.106-0.11667%-0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.04-0.041437%0.043-0.06450%-0.02
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.02425%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0120%-0.061-0.0220%-0.05
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01520%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.527.215.527.42.729.3129.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +19.1%
HOU +2.2%
HOU +40.4%
SAS -8.4%
SAS -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game15.118.315.495.3102.3105.7
season16.516.2104.7104.6
opponent15.215.3100.3100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.417.016.511.015.1
HOU16.316.520.320.318.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fabricio Oberto21220.11-0.610.71-0.076-142017.614.33.2418.018.4-0.49
Darius Washington890.07-0.570.63-0.023-111417.714.92.8913.318.9-5.56
Matt Bonner1517-0.08-0.420.350.01-3-5218.014.53.4916.918.7-1.72
Francisco Elson3937-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-7616.114.31.7519.017.81.18
Ime Udoka77-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-2-414.915.2-0.3027.417.59.90
Bruce Bowen3232-0.24-0.260.020.02-91-1016.514.32.1515.619.9-4.27
Manu Ginobili5456-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.363-111414.516.2-1.6817.719.5-1.76
Michael Finley5255-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.14-5-3-214.516.1-1.5718.817.51.30
Brent Barry4041-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.15-124-1613.416.6-3.1718.118.5-0.33
Tony Parker7272-0.500.00-0.50-0.24-91-1014.617.9-3.3018.915.53.37
Tim Duncan6667-0.540.04-0.58-0.19-124-1614.317.8-3.4918.417.90.55

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yao Ming77770.490.010.480.239-11019.013.45.5615.016.2-1.24
Shane Battier70700.490.010.480.1711-31418.816.52.2315.115.5-0.41
Bonzi Wells52490.480.020.450.1810-21217.519.6-2.0914.116.5-2.43
Mike James39360.260.240.020.2026-418.718.00.6214.215.8-1.57
Luther Head22210.260.240.010.0571620.917.53.4015.215.10.08
Rafer Alston48490.240.26-0.020.0662418.018.7-0.6215.814.21.57
Tracy McGrady67660.220.28-0.050.28-210-1217.521.1-3.6114.915.8-0.85
Luis Scola15150.100.40-0.30-0.0553214.419.1-4.7417.014.72.27
Charles Hayes36340.060.44-0.390.17-412-1619.117.81.2516.214.41.79
Dikembe Mutombo98-0.090.59-0.680.03-412-1617.918.4-0.4816.515.01.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 84, IND 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,195.3%
PHX 70, SAS 850.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,195.2%
ATL 97, GSW 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%