NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	4.7 [885]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +8.0%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	1.1 [1186]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -8.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	8	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	48%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	14	52%	0.07	6	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	8	56%	0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.02	0.07	8	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	68%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	65%	0.11	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.5	15.4	28.3	1.0	27.3	125.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.8%

GSW +1.4%

GSW +7.8%

GSW +2.2%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSW	NBA	ATL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.1	100.0	114.4	105.2
season	14.8	14.2		103.8	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		102.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	17.2	15.1	14.8	15.6
GSW	13.2	11.6	16.9	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	51	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-9	4	16.3	14.7	1.60	14.2	14.1	0.14
Mike Muscala	21	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	13.2	16.2	-3.02	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Kyle Korver	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-7	0	16.5	14.5	2.05	14.2	14.1	0.05
Paul Millsap	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.25	-14	0	-14	16.3	14.8	1.56	13.7	14.6	-0.84
Jeff Teague	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-6	-2	16.1	14.8	1.25	14.3	13.9	0.44
DeMarre Carroll	56	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-11	8	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.1	14.1	0.02
Pero Antic	35	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-13	12	14.2	16.3	-2.08	14.6	13.8	0.80
Cartier Martin	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-8	2	15.3	15.7	-0.47	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Dennis Schroder	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-8	2	14.8	16.1	-1.25	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Mike Scott	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-14	14	14.8	16.3	-1.56	14.6	13.7	0.84
Shelvin Mack	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	4	-22	16.1	15.1	0.95	13.7	14.4	-0.70

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-1	16	14.0	14.3	-0.24	16.5	13.9	2.57
Draymond Green	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	5	4	14.2	14.0	0.22	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Jermaine O'Neal	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-2	18	13.7	14.4	-0.70	16.4	15.0	1.38
Steve Blake	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	4	6	14.3	14.0	0.29	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Stephen Curry	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	13.8	14.6	-0.79	16.3	14.3	1.99
David Lee	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	3	8	13.4	14.9	-1.49	16.2	14.8	1.37
Harrison Barnes	58	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	15	-16	14.3	13.8	0.52	14.5	17.1	-2.58
Klay Thompson	13	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	7	0	11.5	14.5	-3.09	16.8	15.3	1.44
Jordan Crawford	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	13	-12	15.0	13.4	1.62	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Marreese Speights	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	16.1	13.9	2.21	9.8	16.2	-6.42
Andrew Bogut	44	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	16	-18	14.7	13.7	1.04	16.0	15.2	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
NOP 84, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.0%
CHH 96, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%