NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	5.1 [785]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +19.6%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	1.4 [143]		LVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): -16.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.04	12	43%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	55%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.05	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	38%	-0.05	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	32%	-0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Eddie Jones	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	21	42%	-0.10	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.09	-0.04	18	70%	0.26	4	-0.06	10	90%	0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.08	7	75%	0.10	5	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.5	30.2	15.6	23.4	1.8	31.0	129.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +55.8%

DAL +10.9%

CHH -12.4%

CHH -4.4%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DAL	NBA	CHH	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	15.2	93.2	103.9	101.7
season	14.9	14.8		101.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	16.4	14.2	12.0	14.0
DAL	13.5	12.4	14.6	15.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Ellis	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-6	2	14.3	14.0	0.34	14.8	13.9	0.89
Ricky Davis	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	16.1	13.9	2.26	11.0	14.3	-3.32
Elden Campbell	65	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-13	16	13.0	15.8	-2.73	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Derrick Coleman	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-3	-4	15.3	11.8	3.48	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Eddie Robinson	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-8	6	13.6	14.3	-0.75	14.6	13.7	0.88
Brad Miller	28	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	15.1	13.6	1.52	14.4	13.9	0.44
Baron Davis	42	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	12.7	14.9	-2.20	14.6	13.7	0.84
Anthony Mason	89	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	13.5	17.4	-3.92	14.1	13.7	0.42
Eddie Jones	90	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	14.0	14.1	-0.04	14.2	12.8	1.48
David Wesley	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	4	-18	14.8	12.5	2.31	13.7	14.7	-0.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	55	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-5	20	14.1	14.0	0.07	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Erick Strickland	91	93	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	1	8	13.9	15.3	-1.36	13.5	18.7	-5.16
Greg Buckner	48	49	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	2	6	14.8	13.4	1.34	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Shawn Bradley	51	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	1	8	13.6	14.5	-0.82	14.2	13.8	0.43
Michael Finley	88	88	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	7	-4	14.6	10.5	4.13	13.5	17.2	-3.70
Hubert Davis	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	3	4	12.6	14.5	-1.99	15.8	13.5	2.27
Cedric Ceballos	62	63	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	7	-4	13.3	15.3	-2.00	14.9	12.6	2.27
Sean Rooks	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	15.0	13.4	1.56	14.0	14.0	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	48	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	13	-16	14.0	14.1	-0.15	14.1	14.0	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ATL 97, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 91, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.6%