inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 97 Excitement5.6 [719] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +24.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Comeback1.3 [807] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -17.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.170.07-0.011385%0.302-0.051100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02271%-0.001-0.003100%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00262%-0.0010.00475%-0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.03275%0.021-0.024100%0.00
Patty Mills-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00350%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.001744%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.011142%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Danny Green-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.021233%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.001030%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Tony Parker-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.040.001335%-0.054-0.1200%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.05-0.001957%0.185-0.128100%0.05
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.010.04783%0.081-0.03475%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.031954%0.124-0.098100%0.05
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.011354%0.063-0.052100%0.01
Hasheem Thabeet00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.010.00354%-0.001-0.00743%-0.08
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.02-0.07721%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00267%0.033-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.43.431.418.733.53.032.3148.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +13.7%
OKC +24.9%
OKC +16.7%
SAS -3.5%
SAS -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game14.214.615.197.0106.0105.2
season15.014.4109.8107.8
opponent15.415.0102.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.714.915.213.114.2
OKC13.413.413.618.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-162313.614.4-0.8415.714.21.53
Jeff Ayres1111-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-162312.114.5-2.4018.514.14.36
Cory Joseph1112-0.00-0.500.49-0.248-172512.114.5-2.4018.314.14.28
Matt Bonner1414-0.01-0.490.47-0.258-172510.914.8-3.9215.914.41.50
Boris Diaw4643-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-9914.014.4-0.4714.714.50.26
Patty Mills3128-0.10-0.400.290.04-5-4-114.414.10.2713.515.0-1.44
Manu Ginobili5351-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-3-312.616.1-3.4614.414.8-0.44
Marco Belinelli3335-0.18-0.320.15-0.211-101114.514.10.3816.113.72.38
Tim Duncan6163-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-2-514.613.70.8814.315.1-0.85
Kawhi Leonard6566-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-134-1714.613.61.0114.015.6-1.54
Tony Parker5860-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.04-123-1514.513.80.7214.315.0-0.67
Tiago Splitter3737-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-145-1916.512.93.5413.715.1-1.38
Danny Green5555-0.610.12-0.73-0.06-1910-2915.113.11.9913.615.7-2.12

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant76770.55-0.050.61-0.0019-102914.215.9-1.7214.314.00.24
Reggie Jackson76760.420.080.35-0.0717-82514.415.1-0.7314.912.22.71
Russell Westbrook75750.330.170.16-0.1115-62114.115.9-1.7514.613.21.37
Serge Ibaka59590.260.240.01-0.0711-21314.314.9-0.6016.211.44.77
Steven Adams57580.250.250.01-0.1012-31515.313.71.6113.515.3-1.82
Derek Fisher37380.250.25-0.010.31-211-1315.813.81.9712.815.1-2.32
Kendrick Perkins28280.170.33-0.150.0354112.515.4-2.9216.513.33.15
Caron Butler42430.160.34-0.170.25-312-1514.714.40.2912.715.4-2.65
Jeremy Lamb36340.100.40-0.310.30-716-2314.514.6-0.1513.414.7-1.33
Hasheem Thabeet760.000.50-0.500.32-1120-3119.014.24.768.814.6-5.74
Perry Jones760.000.50-0.500.32-1120-3119.014.24.768.814.6-5.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 96, DAL 1060.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHI 87, DEN 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
ATL 92, BOS 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%