inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 106 Excitement5.9 [630] MVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): +22.7%
Orlando Magic 117 Comeback1.5 [859] LVPWally Szczerbiak (MIN): -11.2%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.090.100.000.011568%0.121-0.028100%0.04
Sam Mitchell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.00850%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.01650%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Gary Trent0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00175%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Dean Garrett0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Felipe Lopez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrell Brandon-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.011043%-0.022-0.041100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.080,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.040.021246%-0.051-0.032100%0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.090,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.012244%-0.032-0.066100%0.03
Wally Szczerbiak-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.020.021154%-0.025-0.0920%-0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.230.230.180.03-0.011391%0.283-0.066100%0.03
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.04-0.053056%0.183-0.0510100%0.06
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00965%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Grant Hill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.02850%0.032-0.05683%0.02
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01939%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.02-0.03644%-0.012-0.04475%-0.01
Patrick Ewing0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.040.000.03940%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.731.316.530.42.634.4142.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +26.8%
ORL +13.2%
ORL +3.4%
ORL +6.6%
MIN -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINORLNBAMINORLNBA
this game14.415.415.6107.1123.2102.3
season15.014.6106.7104.6
opponent15.816.1103.3103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.215.014.913.214.4
ORL14.113.814.519.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Trent19180.07-0.570.63-0.085-162111.815.0-3.1713.515.8-2.29
Sam Mitchell17140.04-0.540.580.011-121313.614.5-0.9213.415.7-2.35
Chauncey Billups3432-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-131513.814.7-0.9015.415.30.03
Dean Garrett65-0.01-0.490.490.02-1-10918.514.14.4116.815.31.52
Felipe Lopez54-0.14-0.360.210.00-5-6114.214.4-0.1611.515.5-4.03
Anthony Peeler6259-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-141713.715.4-1.6416.313.82.54
Rasho Nesterovic5250-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-7316.212.33.9915.315.4-0.08
Kevin Garnett8379-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.19-7-4-314.314.9-0.6215.514.60.96
Terrell Brandon6563-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.11-132-1514.713.80.9015.315.4-0.03
Joe Smith8179-0.550.05-0.61-0.11-154-1913.816.9-3.1715.116.8-1.75
Wally Szczerbiak7172-0.660.16-0.82-0.04-2110-3114.813.21.5915.714.31.45

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong81850.60-0.100.700.1017-62315.514.31.2614.712.42.24
Tracy McGrady92930.54-0.040.590.1912-11315.315.7-0.3214.512.71.80
Steven Hunter47460.400.100.300.0512-11314.416.3-1.8515.813.12.79
Grant Hill67740.240.26-0.010.21110-915.515.10.4114.414.10.37
Mike Miller53550.230.27-0.04-0.0083514.416.5-2.0913.914.9-0.96
Patrick Ewing26270.220.28-0.06-0.101101114.015.9-1.8216.013.72.21
Jud Buechler1090.170.33-0.16-0.0165115.015.4-0.4015.614.21.32
Pat Garrity54590.060.44-0.380.23-617-2316.414.02.4313.315.9-2.64
Don Reid45470.030.47-0.440.21-617-2316.514.32.1912.615.9-3.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 84, IND 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,195.1%
SAS 81, HOU 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,195.0%
PHX 71, SAS 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%