NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	5.0 [798]		MVP	Horace Grant (LAL): +8.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.0 [714]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -17.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	13	63%	0.08	0	0.00	12	58%	-0.05
Shawn Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	18	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	13	38%	-0.08	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.02	11	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	1	133%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	10	60%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	19	64%	0.06	5	-0.12	17	76%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	29.3	16.3	27.5	2.6	33.0	133.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.9%

LAL +14.0%

LAL +25.8%

DAL -20.5%

LAL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	18.5	15.5	101.1	111.4	100.9
season	15.2	15.6		104.6	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.3		101.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	15.2	15.3	12.7	14.2
LAL	16.2	20.1	18.3	19.7	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	6.0	14.3	-8.32	21.0	18.5	2.53
Obinna Ekezie	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	6.0	14.3	-8.32	21.0	18.5	2.53
Howard Eisley	42	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	14.5	14.0	0.43	18.1	18.8	-0.69
Calvin Booth	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-11	13	14.8	13.6	1.20	19.4	17.4	1.93
Greg Buckner	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.0	0.60	18.7	18.4	0.25
Michael Finley	77	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-7	5	14.2	14.2	0.05	18.8	16.4	2.41
Shawn Bradley	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	14.0	14.4	-0.42	16.3	20.8	-4.48
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-5	1	13.9	16.2	-2.34	18.8	16.6	2.21
Juwan Howard	68	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	3	-15	14.1	14.6	-0.55	19.2	15.9	3.28
Steve Nash	51	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	9	-27	14.4	13.9	0.49	17.8	19.5	-1.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	-1	11	18.7	17.6	1.11	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Brian Shaw	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	18.6	18.4	0.15	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Rick Fox	56	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	1	7	18.1	19.2	-1.03	14.3	14.1	0.21
Derek Fisher	79	79	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	5	-1	18.9	14.6	4.39	13.9	17.0	-3.09
Shaquille O'Neal	76	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	2	5	18.4	19.1	-0.68	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Robert Horry	42	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	9	-9	19.2	17.9	1.28	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Mike Penberthy	9	8	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	4	1	14.6	18.9	-4.39	16.5	14.0	2.50
Isaiah Rider	31	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	18.5	18.5	0.07	14.9	13.9	0.99
Devean George	17	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	6	-3	17.3	18.8	-1.49	15.9	13.8	2.16
Mark Madsen	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	10	-11	18.4	18.5	-0.11	13.6	14.3	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 93, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
OKC 106, BKN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%