NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	5.2 [821]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +17.3%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	1.2 [1048]		LVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): -19.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	4	112%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	8	78%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	23	49%	-0.04	3	-0.07	11	64%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	11	21%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	11	19%	-0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.02	0.04	8	96%	0.17	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	61%	0.06	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Erik Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	12	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	54%	0.03	6	-0.14	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.6	27.2	15.5	29.4	3.3	26.3	127.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.6%

SAC +16.0%

DEN -0.4%

DEN -1.5%

DEN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.5	89.9	103.1	104.0
season	14.8	14.7		103.8	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.9	15.0	14.3	15.1	15.3
SAC	13.7	15.6	11.8	14.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	37	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.18	10	-22	32	15.4	15.3	0.12	15.5	13.0	2.59
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	25	26	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.21	10	-22	32	15.9	15.1	0.83	16.4	13.0	3.40
Bryon Russell	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-14	16	15.1	15.4	-0.29	14.9	13.6	1.31
Greg Buckner	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-7	2	16.3	14.8	1.50	12.7	14.5	-1.75
Rodney White	44	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-14	16	15.0	15.5	-0.50	12.8	14.8	-2.02
Francisco Elson	37	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	0	-12	15.9	15.0	0.94	14.4	13.6	0.71
Earl Boykins	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.9	15.8	-0.94	14.2	13.6	0.58
Carmelo Anthony	94	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	3	-18	15.4	13.4	2.00	13.7	17.7	-3.98
Kenyon Martin	73	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	11	-34	14.9	16.4	-1.52	13.4	15.3	-1.82
Andre Miller	72	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.06	-19	7	-26	15.1	15.8	-0.65	13.4	15.3	-1.84

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	72	72	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.15	27	-15	42	13.1	16.2	-3.03	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Peja Stojakovic	82	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.05	21	-9	30	13.5	16.1	-2.62	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Mike Bibby	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-8	28	13.4	17.2	-3.72	15.9	11.3	4.52
Doug Christie	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	5	2	13.1	14.8	-1.65	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Bobby Jackson	57	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	9	-6	14.8	12.8	2.02	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Chris Webber	58	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	4	4	14.5	13.1	1.32	16.2	13.9	2.27
Darius Songaila	49	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.34	-7	19	-26	13.8	14.1	-0.35	14.9	15.7	-0.87
Greg Ostertag	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	10	-8	14.5	13.8	0.61	15.8	15.2	0.60
Erik Daniels	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	23.0	13.8	9.16	0.0	15.3	-15.30
Maurice Evans	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	22.3	13.7	8.67	9.0	15.4	-6.43
Kevin Martin	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	22.3	13.7	8.67	9.0	15.4	-6.43
Matt Barnes	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	21	-30	16.2	13.5	2.72	17.1	14.9	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 86, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIA 93, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%