inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement4.8 [845] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +10.6%
Orlando Magic 109 Comeback1.2 [1143] LVPAnthony Carter (MIA): -16.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.030,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.09-0.010.051269%0.061-0.025100%0.02
Brian Grant0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.001161%0.061-0.03683%-0.00
Sean Lampley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00360%0.0000.00450%0.00
Ken Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01967%0.063-0.0600%0.00
Malik Allen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00955%0.041-0.054100%0.01
Eddie House-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.011136%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Mike James-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01525%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Travis Best-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.01-0.03521%-0.062-0.04475%-0.01
Anthony Carter-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.05-0.011140%-0.054-0.12367%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.040.021878%0.227-0.1210100%0.05
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.11-0.000.011464%0.1000.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01473%0.0300.00367%-0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.02683%0.082-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.012100%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.001100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00650%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.030.021553%0.052-0.054100%0.01
Olumide Oyedeji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04025%-0.011-0.01425%-0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.05911%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.82.625.216.427.01.528.5135.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +45.6%
MIA -1.2%
MIA -7.3%
ORL +9.9%
ORL +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game17.014.015.5100.0117.2101.6
season16.314.694.6102.7
opponent15.815.9103.1100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.514.720.318.017.0
ORL13.913.513.015.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike James24240.13-0.630.76-0.1610-263617.216.90.2214.213.90.27
Ken Johnson1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-171817.616.90.6718.513.45.08
Sean Lampley1414-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-182016.017.2-1.1816.613.53.07
Travis Best2727-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-11617.216.90.3113.714.1-0.32
Eddie House2627-0.19-0.310.120.04-8-8018.116.61.5514.413.80.67
Malik Allen5152-0.23-0.270.03-0.09-5-11616.118.1-1.9513.714.4-0.71
Vladimir Stepania4847-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-4-817.816.21.6413.414.5-1.14
Anthony Carter6666-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.09-11-5-616.917.2-0.3114.113.70.32
Rasual Butler6464-0.47-0.03-0.440.15-215-2617.216.70.5013.614.8-1.25
Caron Butler7474-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-160-1616.319.7-3.3713.914.3-0.44
Brian Grant6160-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-15-1-1417.416.31.1013.514.7-1.18

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady76770.57-0.070.63-0.1123-73013.316.8-3.4916.917.7-0.83
Gordan Giricek57580.430.070.370.021421213.414.9-1.5017.116.80.32
Jacque Vaughn37390.430.070.360.021421213.414.4-1.0216.917.1-0.22
Andrew DeClercq46460.400.100.29-0.071601614.713.31.3516.717.3-0.65
Pat Garrity57580.240.26-0.020.09511-614.612.91.6717.017.1-0.09
Drew Gooden25250.210.29-0.09-0.0388013.014.3-1.2716.017.4-1.37
Steven Hunter30290.150.35-0.19-0.0579-212.914.5-1.5816.917.0-0.15
Chris Whitney32320.080.42-0.34-0.01313-1014.813.51.2417.516.70.81
Shawn Kemp22220.010.49-0.490.12-420-2414.113.90.1618.216.61.61
Olumide Oyedeji330.000.50-0.500.00016-1611.314.1-2.7220.016.93.10
Darrell Armstrong5048-0.000.50-0.500.03-117-1814.413.41.0216.118.0-1.85
Jeryl Sasser3028-0.010.51-0.530.13-521-2615.513.22.3118.616.32.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 91, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,195.7%
PHI 75, DET 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
SAS 77, UTA 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%