NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	75		Excitement	4.1 [998]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +19.2%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.3 [1084]		LVP	Chris Webber (DET): -8.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	17	53%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	14	24%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	20	67%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	8	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Blalock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	11	50%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.2	18.5	26.7	1.8	28.2	131.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +45.9%

DET +0.2%

PHI -8.6%

DET +8.6%

DET +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	17.0	17.5	15.4	90.4	114.3	104.5
season	15.5	16.8		101.7	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	17.9	16.5	17.6	17.0
DET	18.0	16.4	17.8	17.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	15.9	17.5	-1.57	15.5	18.2	-2.79
Bobby Jones	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	12.6	17.3	-4.72	13.0	17.7	-4.73
Kevin Ollie	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-14	7	22.0	16.6	5.42	14.9	17.7	-2.83
Rodney Carney	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-15	9	15.4	17.4	-1.93	15.5	17.8	-2.36
Willie Green	59	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-14	7	17.1	17.0	0.11	18.1	15.7	2.48
Steven Hunter	34	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.24	-16	-5	-11	17.5	16.7	0.74	17.7	17.3	0.33
Kyle Korver	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-12	3	15.7	18.7	-2.98	16.9	18.1	-1.17
Joe Smith	63	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-9	-3	17.0	17.3	-0.35	17.1	18.5	-1.44
Andre Miller	55	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-8	-5	17.0	17.1	-0.11	18.5	15.4	3.14
Andre Iguodala	51	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-1	-19	18.3	15.0	3.26	18.6	15.5	3.12
Samuel Dalembert	56	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	-5	-11	17.5	16.1	1.32	17.3	17.7	-0.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	66	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.20	25	-4	29	17.5	17.2	0.36	17.5	15.4	2.16
Rasheed Wallace	46	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	-4	29	17.7	17.2	0.54	19.2	14.6	4.61
Richard Hamilton	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	11	-1	17.4	17.6	-0.15	17.0	17.2	-0.21
Chris Webber	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	9	3	18.3	16.4	1.98	17.3	16.7	0.51
Carlos Delfino	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	5	11	17.0	17.9	-0.90	17.7	16.4	1.33
Ronald Murray	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	7	7	17.6	16.0	1.56	16.5	25.4	-8.90
Antonio McDyess	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	10	1	16.5	18.1	-1.61	16.2	17.7	-1.48
Jason Maxiell	31	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	25	-29	16.8	17.8	-1.07	15.2	18.0	-2.86
Will Blalock	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	18.2	17.3	0.84	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Nazr Mohammed	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	17.6	17.4	0.17	14.7	17.3	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 78, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%