NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	5.5 [721]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +23.8%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.3 [885]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -8.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	78%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Von Wafer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	55%	0.04	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	18	36%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.12	-0.02	18	65%	0.30	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	14	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	28.3	15.5	24.5	2.5	33.2	130.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.2%

DEN +1.5%

HOU -5.8%

DEN +13.2%

DEN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.5	105.6	111.8	106.4
season	16.3	14.4		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.0	17.8	16.7	14.7	16.5
DEN	14.5	14.3	14.0	18.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	30	31	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-18	26	17.2	16.2	1.01	15.3	15.1	0.26
Carl Landry	40	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-13	16	16.0	16.9	-0.87	17.0	13.6	3.37
Von Wafer	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-8	6	18.1	15.6	2.52	15.3	15.1	0.27
Aaron Brooks	44	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-6	2	16.2	16.8	-0.55	16.1	14.2	1.86
Luther Head	54	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-6	2	15.9	17.5	-1.58	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Rafer Alston	67	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	16.1	17.8	-1.71	15.0	15.5	-0.46
Luis Scola	48	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	3	-16	17.0	16.0	0.93	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Metta World Peace	69	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	3	-16	16.8	15.5	1.26	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Yao Ming	59	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	8	-26	16.2	17.2	-1.01	15.1	15.3	-0.26

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	58	55	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-6	22	15.3	14.9	0.38	16.4	16.8	-0.43
Kenyon Martin	66	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-1	12	15.5	14.4	1.10	16.3	17.0	-0.68
Chauncey Billups	79	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	1	8	15.2	14.8	0.43	16.2	18.3	-2.08
Dahntay Jones	48	46	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-1	12	13.8	16.6	-2.72	16.5	16.5	0.03
Nene	68	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	9	-8	15.3	14.8	0.42	16.3	17.1	-0.76
Chris Andersen	42	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	2	6	15.1	15.2	-0.14	16.7	16.4	0.27
Anthony Carter	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	16.3	14.0	2.24	16.7	16.4	0.28
Carmelo Anthony	27	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	7	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.11	17.8	16.0	1.82
Renaldo Balkman	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	10	-10	0.0	15.3	-15.32	15.0	16.5	-1.55
Linas Kleiza	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	17	-24	14.8	15.3	-0.52	17.0	16.3	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.74,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	94.9%
NJN 74, PHX 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHI 82, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%