NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	8.2 [264]		MVP	Noah Clowney (BKN): +27.6%
Brooklyn Nets	111		Comeback	4.2 [141]		LVP	Luka Doncic (LAL): -20.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gabe Vincent	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.03	12	92%	0.27	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	8	106%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	117%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
Austin Reaves	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	14	44%	0.07	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.06
Shake Milton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	26	39%	-0.02	5	-0.19	4	75%	0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.01	11	66%	0.28	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.01	7	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	10	69%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.09	-0.03	9	36%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	10	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	25.5	15.5	27.2	2.4	38.7	138.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +15.3%

LAL -5.8%

BKN +14.9%

BKN +24.7%

BKN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BKN	NBA	LAL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	14.4	114.9	116.8	113.1
season	14.9	15.3		114.3	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.9	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	16.3	15.8	15.2	15.5
BKN	14.2	14.4	14.2	17.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	11	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	1	-5	13.7	15.7	-1.97	15.4	15.0	0.46
Alex Len	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	1	-5	15.7	15.4	0.28	15.1	15.0	0.14
Trey Jemison III	36	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-4	5	13.9	16.4	-2.51	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Dalton Knecht	77	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-12	21	15.7	14.3	1.43	15.7	11.5	4.22
Jordan Goodwin	46	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	0	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.66	15.6	14.4	1.16
Jarred Vanderbilt	53	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	4	-11	16.3	14.4	1.95	14.2	15.9	-1.63
Luka Doncic	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-6	9	15.6	14.4	1.26	14.9	15.6	-0.66
Gabe Vincent	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-2	1	16.0	14.3	1.70	14.6	16.1	-1.50
Austin Reaves	72	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	6	-15	15.1	16.7	-1.58	14.9	15.4	-0.46

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Martin	51	50	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-9	21	15.3	14.7	0.57	15.7	15.2	0.54
Cameron Johnson	67	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-8	19	14.4	16.6	-2.21	15.1	16.5	-1.48
Ziaire Williams	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	3	-3	15.0	15.0	-0.03	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Noah Clowney	45	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	0	3	15.6	14.5	1.04	15.5	15.5	0.04
Day'Ron Sharpe	29	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	17.4	14.0	3.46	16.4	15.1	1.27
Nic Claxton	65	65	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	5	-7	14.2	16.8	-2.66	15.3	15.9	-0.57
D'Angelo Russell	55	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	4	-5	15.9	13.7	2.18	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Jalen Wilson	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	15.6	14.8	0.83	15.5	15.5	0.02
Keon Johnson	53	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.7	15.2	0.54
Reece Beekman	19	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	13.7	15.3	-1.59	15.4	15.5	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%
UTA 96, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.98,1	92.3%
MEM 128, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	92.2%