inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 99 Excitement5.9 [597] MVPTim Thomas (MIL): +15.5%
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Comeback3.1 [555] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -14.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Griffin0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.01771%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Terence Morris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.010,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.010.02-0.03-0.011071%0.104-0.10887%0.00
Maurice Taylor-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00370%0.042-0.05475%-0.01
Juaquin Hawkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Yao Ming-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.02862%0.022-0.04887%0.01
Moochie Norris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.0100%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Cuttino Mobley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.040.031358%0.034-0.1200%0.00
Glen Rice-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11-0.01-0.040.05944%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Steve Francis-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.030.001550%-0.016-0.13475%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.06-0.021070%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.011169%0.132-0.084100%0.04
Marcus Haislip0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01667%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.02872%0.072-0.062100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.02-0.051157%0.042-0.061369%0.02
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.12-0.01-0.052136%-0.0700.00875%-0.01
Desmond Mason0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.021637%-0.051-0.033100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.424.415.728.01.535.6129.7
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU -1.5%
MIL +9.8%
MIL +13.2%
MIL +25.0%
MIL +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMILNBAHOUMILNBA
this game15.314.715.5104.2109.3101.6
season16.315.4101.7106.3
opponent15.815.4106.5100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.019.016.113.315.3
MIL17.512.313.914.914.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Griffin35350.11-0.610.73-0.035-121714.515.8-1.2916.213.82.42
Kelvin Cato1413-0.05-0.450.390.06-4-3-119.614.64.9814.214.7-0.52
Juaquin Hawkins1011-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-7712.115.7-3.6111.515.1-3.54
Yao Ming6366-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-7715.016.1-1.1115.213.51.66
Terence Morris45-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-1-518.515.23.3110.814.9-4.09
Steve Francis8385-0.18-0.320.14-0.304-111514.918.4-3.5415.210.74.49
Moochie Norris1212-0.32-0.18-0.140.01-114-1518.414.93.5410.715.2-4.49
James Posey9192-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.33-1-6515.218.5-3.3114.910.84.09
Cuttino Mobley9192-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-4115.218.5-3.3114.910.84.09
Glen Rice4747-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.30-4-3-115.515.20.2813.316.0-2.72
Maurice Taylor2527-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-158-2316.614.91.6714.614.7-0.12

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd53510.80-0.301.100.0426-194513.316.4-3.0816.713.73.02
Tim Thomas48470.61-0.110.730.0619-123113.216.1-2.8316.514.22.34
Toni Kukoc63610.420.080.340.2561514.215.5-1.3115.315.4-0.18
Gary Payton82800.420.080.340.3043114.913.51.4415.016.9-1.91
Desmond Mason68680.270.230.040.42-512-1715.412.92.5014.517.3-2.75
Joel Przybilla31310.210.29-0.090.0652315.714.21.5115.215.4-0.24
Dan Gadzuric750.060.44-0.39-0.0025-311.314.9-3.6615.215.3-0.13
Sam Cassell7169-0.030.53-0.560.32-1219-3115.412.72.7214.218.4-4.26
Marcus Haislip2627-0.110.61-0.720.06-613-1916.713.92.8014.915.5-0.61
Ervin Johnson3636-0.140.64-0.79-0.03-411-1514.414.9-0.4616.814.42.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 91, PHX 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,192.7%
DET 98, OKC 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.99,1,1,192.6%
HOU 85, MEM 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.79,0.76,0.99,192.5%